Stock Price Trends

AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN)

AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. provides healthcare personnel solutions and staffing services to hospitals and healthcare facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Taxas.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 57.12% per annum.
  • AMN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $19.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.56% per annum.
  • AMN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 25, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 7.3717

b = -0.0023

s = 0.1468

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0023) – 1
= -57.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1468) – 1
= 79.87%

May 25, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y774)
= Exp(a + b × X774 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,121 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3717 + -0.0023 × 1,121 + 2 × 0.1468)
= Exp(5.0643)
= $158.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y774)
= Exp(a + b × X774 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,121 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3717 + -0.0023 × 1,121 – 2 × 0.1468)
= Exp(4.4772)
= $87.99

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3717 + -0.0023 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1468)
= Exp(3.4309)
= $30.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3717 + -0.0023 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1468)
= Exp(2.8438)
= $17.18

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 57.12% per annum.
  • AMN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $19.35 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 15, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 10.1541

b = -0.0040

s = 0.1346

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0040) – 1
= -76.56%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1346) – 1
= 71.35%

July 15, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,058)
= Exp(a + b × X1,058 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,538 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.1541 + -0.0040 × 1,538 + 2 × 0.1346)
= Exp(4.3107)
= $74.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,058)
= Exp(a + b × X1,058 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,538 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.1541 + -0.0040 × 1,538 – 2 × 0.1346)
= Exp(3.7721)
= $43.47

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.1541 + -0.0040 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1346)
= Exp(3.1700)
= $23.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.1541 + -0.0040 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1346)
= Exp(2.6314)
= $13.89

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.56% per annum.
  • AMN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.