Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR)
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc., is a global asset management company. The company is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.87% per annum.
- VCTR price at the close of September 3, 2025 was $70.58 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.16% per annum.
- VCTR price at the close of September 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VCTR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: September 3, 2025
a = 2.3606
b = 0.0011
s = 0.1017
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 46.87%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1017) – 1
= 50.19%
June 13, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y445)
= Exp(a + b × X445 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3606 + 0.0011 × 647 + 2 × 0.1017)
= Exp(3.2453)
= $25.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y445)
= Exp(a + b × X445 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3606 + 0.0011 × 647 – 2 × 0.1017)
= Exp(2.8386)
= $17.09
September 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3606 + 0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1017)
= Exp(4.4859)
= $88.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3606 + 0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1017)
= Exp(4.0792)
= $59.10
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.87% per annum.
- VCTR price at the close of September 3, 2025 was $70.58 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 11, 2024
End date: September 3, 2025
a = 3.7446
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0710
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 9.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0710) – 1
= 32.82%
October 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,031)
= Exp(a + b × X1,031 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,498 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7446 + 0.0002 × 1,498 + 2 × 0.0710)
= Exp(4.2464)
= $69.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,031)
= Exp(a + b × X1,031 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,498 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7446 + 0.0002 × 1,498 – 2 × 0.0710)
= Exp(3.9625)
= $52.59
September 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7446 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0710)
= Exp(4.3249)
= $75.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7446 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0710)
= Exp(4.0411)
= $56.89
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.16% per annum.
- VCTR price at the close of September 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.