Stock Price Trends

SEI Investments Company (SEIC)

SEI Investments Company is a publicly owned asset management portfolio company. The company is headquartered in Oaks, Pennsylvania.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 12.39% per annum.
  • SEIC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $66.07 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.83% per annum.
  • SEIC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SEIC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 5, 2022
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 3.6204

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0553

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.39%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0553) – 1
= 24.77%

May 5, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y700)
= Exp(a + b × X700 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,014 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6204 + 0.0003 × 1,014 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(4.0556)
= $57.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y700)
= Exp(a + b × X700 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,014 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6204 + 0.0003 × 1,014 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(3.8343)
= $46.26

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6204 + 0.0003 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(4.3155)
= $74.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6204 + 0.0003 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(4.0941)
= $59.99

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 12.39% per annum.
  • SEIC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $66.07 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 4, 2024
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 4.8671

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0208

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.83%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0208) – 1
= 8.69%

March 4, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,683 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8671 + -0.0004 × 1,683 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.2755)
= $71.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,683 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8671 + -0.0004 × 1,683 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.1922)
= $66.17

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8671 + -0.0004 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.2217)
= $68.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8671 + -0.0004 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.1384)
= $62.70

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.83% per annum.
  • SEIC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.