Stock Price Trends

Affiliated Managers Group Inc (AMG)

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) is a prominent global asset management firm that operates through a diverse array of affiliate investment managers. With its headquarters in Prides Crossing, Massachusetts, AMG offers a wide range of investment management services to institutional clients, mutual funds, and high-net-worth individuals. The company focuses on partnering with leading investment management firms to enhance its product offerings and drive growth, positioning itself as a key player in the competitive asset management sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 121.02% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $277.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 94.26% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 9, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025

a = 1.6647

b = 0.0022

s = 0.0301

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 121.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0301) – 1
= 12.80%

April 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6647 + 0.0022 × 1,576 + 2 × 0.0301)
= Exp(5.1493)
= $172.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6647 + 0.0022 × 1,576 – 2 × 0.0301)
= Exp(5.0288)
= $152.76

December 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6647 + 0.0022 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0301)
= Exp(5.6860)
= $294.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6647 + 0.0022 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0301)
= Exp(5.5655)
= $261.26

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 121.02% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $277.41 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 27, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025

a = 2.2863

b = 0.0018

s = 0.0224

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 94.26%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0224) – 1
= 9.37%

June 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,655 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2863 + 0.0018 × 1,655 + 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(5.3418)
= $208.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,655 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2863 + 0.0018 × 1,655 – 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(5.2523)
= $191.01

December 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2863 + 0.0018 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(5.6475)
= $283.57

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2863 + 0.0018 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(5.5579)
= $259.29

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 94.26% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.