Stock Price Trends

Affiliated Managers Group Inc (AMG)

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) is a prominent global asset management firm that operates through a diverse array of affiliate investment managers. With its headquarters in Prides Crossing, Massachusetts, AMG offers a wide range of investment management services to institutional clients, mutual funds, and high-net-worth individuals. The company focuses on partnering with leading investment management firms to enhance its product offerings and drive growth, positioning itself as a key player in the competitive asset management sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 145.70% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of October 15, 2025 was $238.78 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.54 (1.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 104.08% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of October 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 9, 2025
End date: October 9, 2025

a = 1.0404

b = 0.0025

s = 0.0245

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0025) – 1
= 145.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0245) – 1
= 10.29%

April 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,636 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0404 + 0.0025 × 1,636 + 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.1186)
= $167.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,636 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0404 + 0.0025 × 1,636 – 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.0206)
= $151.51

October 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0404 + 0.0025 × 1,819 + 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.5693)
= $262.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0404 + 0.0025 × 1,819 – 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.4713)
= $237.78

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 145.70% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of October 15, 2025 was $238.78 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.54 (1.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 27, 2025
End date: October 15, 2025

a = 1.9415

b = 0.0020

s = 0.0182

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 104.08%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0182) – 1
= 7.53%

June 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,178)
= Exp(a + b × X1,178 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,715 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9415 + 0.0020 × 1,715 + 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.3295)
= $206.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,178)
= Exp(a + b × X1,178 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,715 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9415 + 0.0020 × 1,715 – 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.2568)
= $191.88

October 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9415 + 0.0020 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.5445)
= $255.82

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9415 + 0.0020 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.4718)
= $237.89

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 104.08% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of October 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.