Stock Price Trends

Affiliated Managers Group Inc (AMG)

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) is a prominent global asset management firm that operates through a diverse array of affiliate investment managers. With its headquarters in Prides Crossing, Massachusetts, AMG offers a wide range of investment management services to institutional clients, mutual funds, and high-net-worth individuals. The company focuses on partnering with leading investment management firms to enhance its product offerings and drive growth, positioning itself as a key player in the competitive asset management sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 125.74% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of February 27, 2026 was $306.18 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.08 (1.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.56% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of February 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 9, 2025
End date: February 19, 2026

a = 1.7377

b = 0.0022

s = 0.0313

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 125.74%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0313) – 1
= 13.36%

April 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,033)
= Exp(a + b × X1,033 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7377 + 0.0022 × 1,500 + 2 × 0.0313)
= Exp(5.1464)
= $171.82

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,033)
= Exp(a + b × X1,033 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7377 + 0.0022 × 1,500 – 2 × 0.0313)
= Exp(5.0211)
= $151.57

February 19, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7377 + 0.0022 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0313)
= Exp(5.8513)
= $347.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7377 + 0.0022 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0313)
= Exp(5.7260)
= $306.74

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 125.74% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of February 27, 2026 was $306.18 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.08 (1.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 6, 2026
End date: February 27, 2026

a = 6.4072

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0323

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.56%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0323) – 1
= 13.81%

January 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,219)
= Exp(a + b × X1,219 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4072 + -0.0004 × 1,772 + 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(5.8201)
= $337.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,219)
= Exp(a + b × X1,219 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4072 + -0.0004 × 1,772 – 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(5.6908)
= $296.13

February 27, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4072 + -0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(5.8010)
= $330.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4072 + -0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(5.6717)
= $290.52

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.56% per annum.
  • AMG price at the close of February 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.