Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a leading casual dining restaurant chain headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, renowned for its hand-cut steaks and authentic Texas-inspired cuisine. With a robust presence in the United States and a growing international footprint, the company focuses on delivering exceptional customer experiences through its vibrant atmosphere and high-quality food offerings. Texas Roadhouse's commitment to operational excellence and strategic growth initiatives solidifies its position as a strong player in the competitive dining sector, appealing to a wide range of guests seeking a distinctive dining experience.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.39% per annum.
- TXRH price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $189.09 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2,781.09% per annum.
- TXRH price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TXRH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 6, 2024
End date: January 9, 2026
a = 5.0972
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0575
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.39%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0575) – 1
= 25.84%
May 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y830)
= Exp(a + b × X830 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,207 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0972 + 0.0000 × 1,207 + 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.2579)
= $192.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y830)
= Exp(a + b × X830 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,207 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0972 + 0.0000 × 1,207 – 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.0281)
= $152.64
January 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0972 + 0.0000 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.2811)
= $196.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0972 + 0.0000 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.0513)
= $156.23
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.39% per annum.
- TXRH price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $189.09 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 30, 2025
End date: January 14, 2026
a = -11.5516
b = 0.0092
s = 0.0073
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0092) – 1
= 2,781.09%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0073) – 1
= 2.95%
December 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.5516 + 0.0092 × 1,810 + 2 × 0.0073)
= Exp(5.1286)
= $168.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.5516 + 0.0092 × 1,810 – 2 × 0.0073)
= Exp(5.0995)
= $163.95
January 14, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.5516 + 0.0092 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0073)
= Exp(5.2668)
= $193.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.5516 + 0.0092 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0073)
= Exp(5.2377)
= $188.23
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2,781.09% per annum.
- TXRH price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.