Wingstop Inc (WING)
Wingstop Inc. is a premier fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in flavorful, made-to-order chicken wings, along with a variety of side items and beverages. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company operates both company-owned and franchised locations, positioning itself as a leader in the growing segment of the wings market. With a strong focus on customer experience and innovative menu offerings, Wingstop continues to expand its footprint nationally and internationally, making it a compelling investment in the fast-food sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 21.60% per annum.
- WING price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $247.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 60.19% per annum.
- WING price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WING price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 22, 2024
End date: December 10, 2025
a = 6.7527
b = -0.0007
s = 0.1476
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -21.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1476) – 1
= 80.47%
February 22, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y802)
= Exp(a + b × X802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,168 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7527 + -0.0007 × 1,168 + 2 × 0.1476)
= Exp(6.2692)
= $528.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y802)
= Exp(a + b × X802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,168 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7527 + -0.0007 × 1,168 – 2 × 0.1476)
= Exp(5.6788)
= $292.59
December 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7527 + -0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1476)
= Exp(5.8312)
= $340.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7527 + -0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1476)
= Exp(5.2408)
= $188.82
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 21.60% per annum.
- WING price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $247.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 2, 2025
End date: December 10, 2025
a = 10.0347
b = -0.0025
s = 0.0740
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0025) – 1
= -60.19%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0740) – 1
= 34.43%
June 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,634 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0347 + -0.0025 × 1,634 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(6.0599)
= $428.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,634 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0347 + -0.0025 × 1,634 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(5.7640)
= $318.62
December 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0347 + -0.0025 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(5.5780)
= $264.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0347 + -0.0025 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(5.2821)
= $196.78
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 60.19% per annum.
- WING price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.