Bloomin Brands Inc (BLMN)
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. is a leading restaurant holding company that operates a diverse portfolio of casual and upscale dining establishments, including well-known brands such as Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, and Bonefish Grill. Headquartered in Tampa, Florida, the company has a strong presence both domestically and internationally, catering to a broad consumer base. With a focus on delivering exceptional dining experiences, Bloomin' Brands continues to innovate its menu offerings and enhance guest experiences, positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive restaurant industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 53.50% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $6.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 19.81% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BLMN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 11, 2023
End date: January 2, 2026
a = 5.5502
b = -0.0021
s = 0.1299
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0021) – 1
= -53.50%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1299) – 1
= 68.15%
December 11, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y739)
= Exp(a + b × X739 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,071 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5502 + -0.0021 × 1,071 + 2 × 0.1299)
= Exp(3.5633)
= $35.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y739)
= Exp(a + b × X739 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,071 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5502 + -0.0021 × 1,071 – 2 × 0.1299)
= Exp(3.0436)
= $20.98
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5502 + -0.0021 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1299)
= Exp(1.9836)
= $7.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5502 + -0.0021 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1299)
= Exp(1.4639)
= $4.32
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 53.50% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $6.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 28, 2025
End date: January 2, 2026
a = 3.0311
b = -0.0006
s = 0.1078
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -19.81%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1078) – 1
= 53.93%
February 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,516 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0311 + -0.0006 × 1,516 + 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(2.3298)
= $10.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,516 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0311 + -0.0006 × 1,516 – 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(1.8985)
= $6.68
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0311 + -0.0006 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(2.1435)
= $8.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0311 + -0.0006 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(1.7121)
= $5.54
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 19.81% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.