Stock Price Trends

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)

no final de 1980, quatro amigos que eram experts na indústria de hospitalidade tiveram o sonho de abrir seu próprio restaurante. eles queriam um lugar com uma atmosfera casual e com excelência em alimentos e serviço de qualidade. para diferenciar-se de outros conceitos, eles decidiram adotar o tema australiano combinado a um ambiente de descontração, simpatia e diversão. com um lema de "no rules, just right"​ sob a premissa de que tudo vale quando se trata de agradar o cliente, o primeiro restaurante outback steakhouse foi inaugurado em março de 1988 em tampa, florida e rapidamente se tornou conhecido como um lugar que serve o melhor steak a um preço razoável, servido por pessoas que realmente se preocupam com o conforto, bem-estar e a alegria de seus clientes. desde então, a família bloomin’ brands tem expandido em todo o mundo, incluindo novas marcas como abbraccio cucina italiana, mexcla, fleming’s prime steakhouse & wine bar e bonefish grill. hoje, a bloomin’ brands é uma das maior

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.04% per annum.
  • BLMN price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $26.32 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.28 (54.48%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.70% per annum.
  • BLMN price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BLMN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

January 19, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

October 17, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.04% per annum.
  • BLMN price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $26.32 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.28 (54.48%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

October 22, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.70% per annum.
  • BLMN price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.