BJs Restaurants Inc (BJRI)
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) operates a chain of casual dining restaurants across the United States, known for its extensive menu and signature deep-dish pizzas. Headquartered in Huntington Beach, California, the company focuses on delivering a high-quality dining experience that includes a diverse selection of craft beers brewed in-house. BJ's commitment to innovative cuisine and customer service positions it well in the competitive casual dining sector, making it an attractive prospect for institutional investors seeking growth opportunities within the hospitality industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.06% per annum.
- BJRI price at the close of January 26, 2026 was $42.12 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 245.14% per annum.
- BJRI price at the close of January 26, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.04 (0.09%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BJRI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 4, 2022
End date: January 26, 2026
a = 3.1426
b = 0.0003
s = 0.1109
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1109) – 1
= 55.81%
March 4, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 401 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1426 + 0.0003 × 401 + 2 × 0.1109)
= Exp(3.4795)
= $32.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 401 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1426 + 0.0003 × 401 – 2 × 0.1109)
= Exp(3.0361)
= $20.82
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1426 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1109)
= Exp(3.8886)
= $48.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1426 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1109)
= Exp(3.4452)
= $31.35
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.06% per annum.
- BJRI price at the close of January 26, 2026 was $42.12 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2025
End date: January 26, 2026
a = -2.3796
b = 0.0034
s = 0.0364
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0034) – 1
= 245.14%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0364) – 1
= 15.69%
September 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,164)
= Exp(a + b × X1,164 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,693 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.3796 + 0.0034 × 1,693 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(3.4391)
= $31.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,164)
= Exp(a + b × X1,164 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,693 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.3796 + 0.0034 × 1,693 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(3.2934)
= $26.93
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.3796 + 0.0034 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(3.8871)
= $48.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.3796 + 0.0034 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(3.7414)
= $42.16
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 245.14% per annum.
- BJRI price at the close of January 26, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.04 (0.09%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.