Dave & Buster’s Entertainment (PLAY)
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is a premier operator of entertainment and dining venues that cater to both adult and family audiences across North America. With its headquarters in Dallas, Texas, the company combines a dynamic environment featuring a wide array of arcade games, sports viewing, and a diverse menu of food and beverages, creating a unique experience aimed at capturing a wide demographic. As the leader in the eatertainment sector, Dave & Buster's focuses on enhancing customer engagement and driving repeat visits through innovative offerings and a commitment to exceptional service.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.51% per annum.
- PLAY price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $9.81 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.51% per annum.
- PLAY price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.54 (5.22%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PLAY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 13, 2023
End date: March 27, 2026
a = 5.7761
b = -0.0017
s = 0.1860
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -46.51%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1860) – 1
= 110.44%
December 13, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y683)
= Exp(a + b × X683 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 989 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7761 + -0.0017 × 989 + 2 × 0.1860)
= Exp(4.4529)
= $85.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y683)
= Exp(a + b × X683 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 989 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7761 + -0.0017 × 989 – 2 × 0.1860)
= Exp(3.7089)
= $40.81
March 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7761 + -0.0017 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1860)
= Exp(3.0217)
= $20.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7761 + -0.0017 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1860)
= Exp(2.2776)
= $9.75
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.51% per annum.
- PLAY price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $9.81 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 20, 2026
End date: March 27, 2026
a = 19.2062
b = -0.0092
s = 0.0530
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0092) – 1
= -96.51%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0530) – 1
= 23.64%
January 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.2062 + -0.0092 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(3.1558)
= $23.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.2062 + -0.0092 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(2.9436)
= $18.98
March 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.2062 + -0.0092 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(2.5492)
= $12.80
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.2062 + -0.0092 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(2.3370)
= $10.35
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.51% per annum.
- PLAY price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.54 (5.22%).