Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI)
UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) is a leading provider of innovative wood and wood alternative products, catering to diverse markets across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan, the company employs advanced manufacturing processes to deliver a wide range of solutions for construction, industrial, and retail sectors. With a strong commitment to sustainability and customer-centric innovation, UFP Industries leverages its extensive distribution network and strategic partnerships to enhance market reach and drive growth, positioning itself as a key player in the global building materials industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 27.07% per annum.
- UFPI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $92.99 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.30% per annum.
- UFPI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UFPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2024
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 6.0615
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0470
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -27.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0470) – 1
= 20.67%
September 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y952)
= Exp(a + b × X952 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,385 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0615 + -0.0009 × 1,385 + 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(4.9575)
= $142.24
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y952)
= Exp(a + b × X952 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,385 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0615 + -0.0009 × 1,385 – 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(4.7696)
= $117.88
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0615 + -0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(4.5787)
= $97.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0615 + -0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(4.3908)
= $80.71
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 27.07% per annum.
- UFPI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $92.99 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 20, 2025
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 5.5296
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0361
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -18.30%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0361) – 1
= 15.52%
February 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5296 + -0.0006 × 1,542 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.7481)
= $115.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5296 + -0.0006 × 1,542 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.6038)
= $99.86
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5296 + -0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.5926)
= $98.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5296 + -0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.4483)
= $85.48
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.30% per annum.
- UFPI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.