Stock Price Trends

Owens Corning Inc (OC)

Owens Corning Inc. is a global leader in building and construction materials, specializing in fiberglass, roofing, and insulation solutions. Headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, the company operates across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, serving a diverse array of markets. With a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, Owens Corning is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for energy-efficient building products and advanced materials, making it an attractive prospect for institutional investors seeking growth in the construction sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.44% per annum.
  • OC price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $126.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 83.87% per annum.
  • OC price at the close of October 10, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.09 (0.85%).

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 21, 2024
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 5.7317

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0879

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0879) – 1
= 42.15%

March 21, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y864)
= Exp(a + b × X864 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7317 + -0.0004 × 1,255 + 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(5.3711)
= $215.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y864)
= Exp(a + b × X864 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7317 + -0.0004 × 1,255 – 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(5.0194)
= $151.32

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7317 + -0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(5.1283)
= $168.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7317 + -0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(4.7766)
= $118.71

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.44% per annum.
  • OC price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $126.41 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 13.9964

b = -0.0050

s = 0.0181

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0050) – 1
= -83.87%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0181) – 1
= 7.50%

September 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.9964 + -0.0050 × 1,788 + 2 × 0.0181)
= Exp(5.0953)
= $163.26

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.9964 + -0.0050 × 1,788 – 2 × 0.0181)
= Exp(5.0230)
= $151.87

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.9964 + -0.0050 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0181)
= Exp(4.9204)
= $137.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.9964 + -0.0050 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0181)
= Exp(4.8481)
= $127.50

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 83.87% per annum.
  • OC price at the close of October 10, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.09 (0.85%).