MasterBrand Inc. (MBC)
MasterBrand, Inc. manufactures and sells residential cabinets for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of the home in North America. The company is headquartered in Jasper, Indiana.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 48.19% per annum.
- MBC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $17.21 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.80 (11.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,134.06% per annum.
- MBC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MBC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 29, 2024
End date: July 12, 2024
a = 3.7378
b = -0.0018
s = 0.0338
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0018) – 1
= -48.19%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0338) – 1
= 14.47%
February 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y305)
= Exp(a + b × X305 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 447 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7378 + -0.0018 × 447 + 2 × 0.0338)
= Exp(3.0000)
= $20.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y305)
= Exp(a + b × X305 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 447 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7378 + -0.0018 × 447 – 2 × 0.0338)
= Exp(2.8648)
= $17.55
July 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y397)
= Exp(a + b × X397 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 581 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7378 + -0.0018 × 581 + 2 × 0.0338)
= Exp(2.7586)
= $15.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y397)
= Exp(a + b × X397 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 581 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7378 + -0.0018 × 581 – 2 × 0.0338)
= Exp(2.6234)
= $13.78
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 48.19% per annum.
- MBC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $17.21 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.80 (11.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 25, 2024
End date: July 25, 2024
a = -1.2487
b = 0.0069
s = 0.0444
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0069) – 1
= 1,134.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0444) – 1
= 19.41%
June 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y385)
= Exp(a + b × X385 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 564 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2487 + 0.0069 × 564 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.7230)
= $15.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y385)
= Exp(a + b × X385 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 564 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2487 + 0.0069 × 564 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.5455)
= $12.75
July 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y406)
= Exp(a + b × X406 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 594 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2487 + 0.0069 × 594 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.9295)
= $18.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y406)
= Exp(a + b × X406 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 594 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2487 + 0.0069 × 594 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.7521)
= $15.68
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,134.06% per annum.
- MBC price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.