General Dynamics Corporation (GD)
General Dynamics Corporation (GD) is a leading American aerospace and defense company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. With a diversified portfolio that includes marine systems, combat systems, information technology, and aerospace, GD plays a critical role in delivering advanced solutions to both government and commercial clients. The company is recognized for its commitment to innovation and operational excellence, serving a global customer base and contributing significantly to national security initiatives. GD's strong financial performance and strategic expansion in key sectors underscore its position as a vital player in the defense industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.41% per annum.
- GD price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $340.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 23.13% per annum.
- GD price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 6, 2025
End date: November 19, 2025
a = 3.5107
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0233
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0233) – 1
= 9.76%
February 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,052)
= Exp(a + b × X1,052 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,532 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5107 + 0.0013 × 1,532 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(5.5407)
= $254.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,052)
= Exp(a + b × X1,052 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,532 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5107 + 0.0013 × 1,532 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(5.4476)
= $232.20
November 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5107 + 0.0013 × 1,818 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(5.9110)
= $369.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5107 + 0.0013 × 1,818 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(5.8179)
= $336.26
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.41% per annum.
- GD price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $340.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 24, 2025
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 7.1449
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0101
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -23.13%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0101) – 1
= 4.12%
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1449 + -0.0007 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(5.8739)
= $355.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1449 + -0.0007 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(5.8335)
= $341.56
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1449 + -0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(5.8501)
= $347.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1449 + -0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(5.8098)
= $333.54
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 23.13% per annum.
- GD price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.