General Dynamics Corporation (GD)
General Dynamics Corporation (GD) is a leading American aerospace and defense company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. With a diversified portfolio that includes marine systems, combat systems, information technology, and aerospace, GD plays a critical role in delivering advanced solutions to both government and commercial clients. The company is recognized for its commitment to innovation and operational excellence, serving a global customer base and contributing significantly to national security initiatives. GD's strong financial performance and strategic expansion in key sectors underscore its position as a vital player in the defense industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.21% per annum.
- GD price at the close of March 10, 2026 was $355.59 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $26.86 (7.02%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 26.38% per annum.
- GD price at the close of March 10, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 28, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025
a = 3.7018
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0245
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0245) – 1
= 10.31%
January 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y975)
= Exp(a + b × X975 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,419 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7018 + 0.0013 × 1,419 + 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.5344)
= $253.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y975)
= Exp(a + b × X975 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,419 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7018 + 0.0013 × 1,419 – 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.4363)
= $229.59
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7018 + 0.0013 × 1,716 + 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.9077)
= $367.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7018 + 0.0013 × 1,716 – 2 × 0.0245)
= Exp(5.8096)
= $333.48
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.21% per annum.
- GD price at the close of March 10, 2026 was $355.59 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $26.86 (7.02%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: March 10, 2026
a = 4.7242
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0216
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.38%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0216) – 1
= 9.05%
July 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,096)
= Exp(a + b × X1,096 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,595 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7242 + 0.0006 × 1,595 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(5.7907)
= $327.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,096)
= Exp(a + b × X1,096 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,595 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7242 + 0.0006 × 1,595 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(5.7041)
= $300.09
March 10, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7242 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(5.9382)
= $379.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7242 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(5.8516)
= $347.80
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 26.38% per annum.
- GD price at the close of March 10, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.