General Dynamics Corporation (GD)
General Dynamics Corporation (GD) is a leading American aerospace and defense company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. With a diversified portfolio that includes marine systems, combat systems, information technology, and aerospace, GD plays a critical role in delivering advanced solutions to both government and commercial clients. The company is recognized for its commitment to innovation and operational excellence, serving a global customer base and contributing significantly to national security initiatives. GD's strong financial performance and strategic expansion in key sectors underscore its position as a vital player in the defense industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.58% per annum.
- GD price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $363.27 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.34% per annum.
- GD price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 29, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025
a = 3.6358
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0241
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0241) – 1
= 10.13%
January 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,007)
= Exp(a + b × X1,007 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,464 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6358 + 0.0013 × 1,464 + 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(5.5336)
= $253.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,007)
= Exp(a + b × X1,007 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,464 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6358 + 0.0013 × 1,464 – 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(5.4370)
= $229.76
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6358 + 0.0013 × 1,760 + 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(5.9075)
= $367.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6358 + 0.0013 × 1,760 – 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(5.8110)
= $333.95
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.58% per annum.
- GD price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $363.27 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: January 12, 2026
a = 4.6234
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0198
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0198) – 1
= 8.25%
July 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,639 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6234 + 0.0007 × 1,639 + 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(5.7836)
= $324.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,639 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6234 + 0.0007 × 1,639 – 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(5.7043)
= $300.16
January 12, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6234 + 0.0007 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(5.9018)
= $365.71
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6234 + 0.0007 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(5.8226)
= $337.85
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.34% per annum.
- GD price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.