Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Ticker: KTOS) is a prominent defense contractor focused on providing innovative solutions to the U.S. Department of Defense and other government entities. Headquartered in San Diego, California, Kratos specializes in unmanned systems, satellite communications, and cybersecurity, positioning itself as a key player in the national security sector. With a strong emphasis on advanced technology and operational efficiency, the company is well-equipped to meet the evolving demands of defense modernization. As an industry leader, Kratos remains committed to enhancing national security through strategic partnerships and cutting-edge research and development initiatives.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 59.33% per annum.
- KTOS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $94.63 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $47.01 (98.72%).
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 832.40% per annum.
- KTOS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KTOS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 26, 2022
End date: June 26, 2025
a = 1.3648
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0853
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0853) – 1
= 40.64%
September 26, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y492)
= Exp(a + b × X492 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 714 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3648 + 0.0013 × 714 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(2.4466)
= $11.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y492)
= Exp(a + b × X492 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 714 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3648 + 0.0013 × 714 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(2.1056)
= $8.21
June 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3648 + 0.0013 × 1,718 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(3.7279)
= $41.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3648 + 0.0013 × 1,718 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(3.3869)
= $29.57
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 59.33% per annum.
- KTOS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $94.63 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $47.01 (98.72%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 31, 2025
End date: October 10, 2025
a = -6.6634
b = 0.0061
s = 0.0713
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0061) – 1
= 832.40%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0713) – 1
= 33.01%
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,631 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.6634 + 0.0061 × 1,631 + 2 × 0.0713)
= Exp(3.4555)
= $31.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,631 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.6634 + 0.0061 × 1,631 – 2 × 0.0713)
= Exp(3.1703)
= $23.81
October 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.6634 + 0.0061 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0713)
= Exp(4.6361)
= $103.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.6634 + 0.0061 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0713)
= Exp(4.3508)
= $77.54
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 832.40% per annum.
- KTOS price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.