Hexcel Corporation (HXL)
Hexcel Corporation (HXL) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of advanced composite materials, specializing in high-performance structural materials for the aerospace, automotive, and industrial sectors. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company plays a pivotal role in the aerospace supply chain, providing innovative solutions that enhance efficiency and performance in aircraft design and production. With a strong commitment to innovation and sustainability, Hexcel is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for lightweight materials in defense and commercial applications, further solidifying its status as a key player in the advanced materials industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 81.25% per annum.
- HXL price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $73.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 171.54% per annum.
- HXL price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HXL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 1.3306
b = 0.0016
s = 0.0353
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 81.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0353) – 1
= 15.18%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3306 + 0.0016 × 1,571 + 2 × 0.0353)
= Exp(3.9609)
= $52.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3306 + 0.0016 × 1,571 – 2 × 0.0353)
= Exp(3.8196)
= $45.59
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3306 + 0.0016 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0353)
= Exp(4.3731)
= $79.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3306 + 0.0016 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0353)
= Exp(4.2318)
= $68.84
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 81.25% per annum.
- HXL price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $73.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 17, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = -0.6510
b = 0.0027
s = 0.0355
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0027) – 1
= 171.54%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0355) – 1
= 15.27%
September 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,738 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.6510 + 0.0027 × 1,738 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(4.1767)
= $65.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,738 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.6510 + 0.0027 × 1,738 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(4.0346)
= $56.52
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.6510 + 0.0027 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(4.4120)
= $82.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.6510 + 0.0027 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0355)
= Exp(4.2699)
= $71.52
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 171.54% per annum.
- HXL price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.