Stock Price Trends

Sonic Automotive Inc (SAH)

Sonic Automotive, Inc. is a leading automobile retailer in the United States, strategically headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. With a robust network of dealerships representing numerous automotive brands, the company specializes in both new and used vehicle sales, along with comprehensive vehicle service and financing solutions. Sonic's commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction positions it favorably in the competitive automotive market, aiming to enhance the retail experience through advanced technology and operational efficiency. As a publicly traded company, Sonic Automotive is well-poised to capitalize on growth opportunities in the evolving automotive landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.35% per annum.
  • SAH price at the close of March 9, 2026 was $61.22 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.73% per annum.
  • SAH price at the close of March 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SAH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 18, 2025
End date: March 9, 2026

a = 6.4872

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0614

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.35%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0614) – 1
= 27.86%

June 18, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,074)
= Exp(a + b × X1,074 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,561 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4872 + -0.0013 × 1,561 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.5414)
= $93.82

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,074)
= Exp(a + b × X1,074 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,561 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4872 + -0.0013 × 1,561 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.2956)
= $73.38

March 9, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4872 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.1915)
= $66.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4872 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(3.9457)
= $51.71

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.35% per annum.
  • SAH price at the close of March 9, 2026 was $61.22 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 23, 2025
End date: March 9, 2026

a = 4.3206

b = -0.0001

s = 0.0269

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.73%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0269) – 1
= 11.38%

October 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3206 + -0.0001 × 1,688 + 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(4.1989)
= $66.61

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3206 + -0.0001 × 1,688 – 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(4.0912)
= $59.81

March 9, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3206 + -0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(4.1847)
= $65.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3206 + -0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(4.0769)
= $58.96

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.73% per annum.
  • SAH price at the close of March 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.