Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT)
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a leading American multinational hospitality company renowned for its extensive portfolio of premium hotels and resorts across various market segments. With a commitment to exceptional customer service and innovative operational practices, Hilton operates hundreds of properties globally, including well-known brands such as Hilton, DoubleTree, and Waldorf Astoria. The company's strategic focus on expanding its footprint in key global markets, coupled with its loyalty program, positions it prominently within the competitive landscape of the hospitality industry, making it an attractive prospect for institutional investors seeking growth in tourism and travel sectors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.74% per annum.
- HLT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $260.27 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18.03 (6.48%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 20.97% per annum.
- HLT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HLT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: March 7, 2025
a = 4.2155
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0568
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 35.74%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0568) – 1
= 25.53%
June 13, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y415)
= Exp(a + b × X415 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 602 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2155 + 0.0008 × 602 + 2 × 0.0568)
= Exp(4.8331)
= $125.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y415)
= Exp(a + b × X415 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 602 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2155 + 0.0008 × 602 – 2 × 0.0568)
= Exp(4.6058)
= $100.06
March 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,100)
= Exp(a + b × X1,100 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,600 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2155 + 0.0008 × 1,600 + 2 × 0.0568)
= Exp(5.6686)
= $289.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,100)
= Exp(a + b × X1,100 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,600 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2155 + 0.0008 × 1,600 – 2 × 0.0568)
= Exp(5.4412)
= $230.71
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.74% per annum.
- HLT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $260.27 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18.03 (6.48%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 19, 2024
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 4.6610
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0558
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 20.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0558) – 1
= 25.01%
January 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y817)
= Exp(a + b × X817 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6610 + 0.0005 × 1,187 + 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(5.3918)
= $219.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y817)
= Exp(a + b × X817 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6610 + 0.0005 × 1,187 – 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(5.1686)
= $175.66
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6610 + 0.0005 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(5.7241)
= $306.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6610 + 0.0005 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(5.5008)
= $244.90
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 20.97% per annum.
- HLT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.