Sabre Corpo (SABR)
Saber Corporation, through its subsidiary, Saber Holdings Corporation, provides software and technology solutions for the global travel industry. The company is headquartered in Southlake, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.69% per annum.
- SABR price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $2.53 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.01 (28.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.31% per annum.
- SABR price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.31 (13.71%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SABR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 16, 2024
End date: March 10, 2025
a = -0.8591
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0924
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.69%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0924) – 1
= 44.71%
February 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y957)
= Exp(a + b × X957 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8591 + 0.0013 × 1,388 + 2 × 0.0924)
= Exp(1.0817)
= $2.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y957)
= Exp(a + b × X957 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8591 + 0.0013 × 1,388 – 2 × 0.0924)
= Exp(0.7121)
= $2.04
March 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,776 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8591 + 0.0013 × 1,776 + 2 × 0.0924)
= Exp(1.5725)
= $4.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,776 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8591 + 0.0013 × 1,776 – 2 × 0.0924)
= Exp(1.2030)
= $3.33
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.69% per annum.
- SABR price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $2.53 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.01 (28.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 20, 2025
End date: April 25, 2025
a = 25.5096
b = -0.0136
s = 0.0900
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0136) – 1
= -99.31%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0900) – 1
= 43.32%
February 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.5096 + -0.0136 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0900)
= Exp(1.7135)
= $5.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.5096 + -0.0136 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0900)
= Exp(1.3536)
= $3.87
April 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.5096 + -0.0136 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0900)
= Exp(0.8406)
= $2.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.5096 + -0.0136 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0900)
= Exp(0.4808)
= $1.62
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.31% per annum.
- SABR price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.31 (13.71%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.