Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE)
Expedia Group, Inc. is a leading American online travel shopping platform, specializing in both consumer and small business travel solutions. The company operates a diverse portfolio of well-known brands, including Expedia.com, Vrbo, Hotels.com, Hotwire, Orbitz, Travelocity, trivago, and CarRentals.com, providing comprehensive travel fare aggregation and metasearch services. With a robust technology infrastructure, Expedia Group aims to enhance user experience by offering a seamless and personalized travel planning process, positioning itself as a key player in the evolving global travel industry. The company's strategic focus on innovation and market expansion continues to capitalize on the growing demand for digital travel services.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.77% per annum.
- EXPE price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $214.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 127.47% per annum.
- EXPE price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EXPE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 21, 2022
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 3.9587
b = 0.0007
s = 0.1111
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 30.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1111) – 1
= 55.93%
September 21, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y484)
= Exp(a + b × X484 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 702 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9587 + 0.0007 × 702 + 2 × 0.1111)
= Exp(4.6968)
= $109.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y484)
= Exp(a + b × X484 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 702 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9587 + 0.0007 × 702 – 2 × 0.1111)
= Exp(4.2525)
= $70.28
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9587 + 0.0007 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1111)
= Exp(5.5213)
= $249.96
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9587 + 0.0007 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1111)
= Exp(5.0771)
= $160.30
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.77% per annum.
- EXPE price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $214.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 1.3230
b = 0.0023
s = 0.0390
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0023) – 1
= 127.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0390) – 1
= 16.87%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3230 + 0.0023 × 1,627 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.0643)
= $158.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3230 + 0.0023 × 1,627 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(4.9085)
= $135.43
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3230 + 0.0023 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.5079)
= $246.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3230 + 0.0023 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.3520)
= $211.03
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 127.47% per annum.
- EXPE price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.