Airbnb Inc (ABNB)
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) is a leading online marketplace based in San Francisco, California, that connects travelers with unique accommodations and experiences, including vacation rentals and tourism activities across the globe. Founded in 2008, the company has revolutionized the hospitality industry by offering diverse lodging options, from urban apartments to rural retreats. With a strong focus on enhancing user experience and leveraging cutting-edge technology, Airbnb continues to expand its market presence while fostering community connections and promoting local cultures. As the company navigates a post-pandemic recovery, it remains well-positioned to capitalize on growing travel demands and evolving consumer preferences.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.71% per annum.
- ABNB price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $125.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $39.57 (23.91%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.27% per annum.
- ABNB price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ABNB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 9, 2022
End date: July 29, 2024
a = 4.3102
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0974
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 22.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0974) – 1
= 47.62%
May 9, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y354)
= Exp(a + b × X354 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 515 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3102 + 0.0006 × 515 + 2 × 0.0974)
= Exp(4.7936)
= $120.74
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y354)
= Exp(a + b × X354 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 515 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3102 + 0.0006 × 515 – 2 × 0.0974)
= Exp(4.4041)
= $81.79
July 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y911)
= Exp(a + b × X911 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,327 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3102 + 0.0006 × 1,327 + 2 × 0.0974)
= Exp(5.2489)
= $190.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y911)
= Exp(a + b × X911 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,327 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3102 + 0.0006 × 1,327 – 2 × 0.0974)
= Exp(4.8594)
= $128.94
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.71% per annum.
- ABNB price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $125.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $39.57 (23.91%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 7, 2023
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 5.3379
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0777
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -10.27%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0777) – 1
= 36.45%
December 7, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y752)
= Exp(a + b × X752 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,092 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3379 + -0.0003 × 1,092 + 2 × 0.0777)
= Exp(5.1692)
= $175.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y752)
= Exp(a + b × X752 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,092 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3379 + -0.0003 × 1,092 – 2 × 0.0777)
= Exp(4.8584)
= $128.82
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3379 + -0.0003 × 1,772 + 2 × 0.0777)
= Exp(4.9674)
= $143.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3379 + -0.0003 × 1,772 – 2 × 0.0777)
= Exp(4.6567)
= $105.28
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.27% per annum.
- ABNB price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.