Stock Price Trends

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc (WH)

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is a global hotel franchisor. The company is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.15% per annum.
  • WH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $86.39 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.41 (0.47%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 15.11% per annum.
  • WH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 8, 2021
End date: October 10, 2024

a = 4.2386

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0793

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.15%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0793) – 1
= 37.33%

March 8, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y215)
= Exp(a + b × X215 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 313 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2386 + 0.0000 × 313 + 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.4070)
= $82.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y215)
= Exp(a + b × X215 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 313 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2386 + 0.0000 × 313 – 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.0897)
= $59.72

October 10, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,625 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2386 + 0.0000 × 1,625 + 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.4479)
= $85.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,625 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2386 + 0.0000 × 1,625 – 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.1307)
= $62.22

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.15% per annum.
  • WH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $86.39 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.41 (0.47%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 16, 2022
End date: April 3, 2025

a = 3.8119

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0848

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 15.11%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0848) – 1
= 40.39%

June 16, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y538)
= Exp(a + b × X538 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8119 + 0.0004 × 778 + 2 × 0.0848)
= Exp(4.2814)
= $72.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y538)
= Exp(a + b × X538 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8119 + 0.0004 × 778 – 2 × 0.0848)
= Exp(3.9422)
= $51.53

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8119 + 0.0004 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0848)
= Exp(4.6753)
= $107.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8119 + 0.0004 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0848)
= Exp(4.3361)
= $76.41

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 15.11% per annum.
  • WH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.