Stock Price Trends

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

Abbott Laboratories is an American multinational medical devices and health care company with headquarters in Abbott Park, Illinois, United States. The company was founded by Chicago physician Wallace Calvin Abbott in 1888 to formulate known drugs; today, it sells medical devices, diagnostics, branded generic medicines and nutritional products. It split off its research-based pharmaceuticals business into AbbVie in 2013.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.60% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of May 23, 2025 was $131.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.37% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of May 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ABT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 30, 2024
End date: May 23, 2025

a = 3.4892

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0354

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 32.60%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0354) – 1
= 15.22%

April 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y989)
= Exp(a + b × X989 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,435 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4892 + 0.0008 × 1,435 + 2 × 0.0354)
= Exp(4.6695)
= $106.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y989)
= Exp(a + b × X989 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,435 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4892 + 0.0008 × 1,435 – 2 × 0.0354)
= Exp(4.5278)
= $92.55

May 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4892 + 0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0354)
= Exp(4.9695)
= $143.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4892 + 0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0354)
= Exp(4.8278)
= $124.93

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.60% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of May 23, 2025 was $131.30 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 27, 2025
End date: May 23, 2025

a = 4.7576

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0274

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.37%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0274) – 1
= 11.57%

January 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7576 + 0.0001 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.9220)
= $137.28

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7576 + 0.0001 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.8126)
= $123.05

May 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7576 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.9295)
= $138.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7576 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.8201)
= $123.97

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.37% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of May 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.