Stock Price Trends

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is a leading American multinational healthcare company headquartered in Abbott Park, Illinois, specializing in a diverse portfolio of medical devices, diagnostics, branded generic medicines, and nutritional products. Founded in 1888 by Dr. Wallace Calvin Abbott, the company has evolved significantly over the years, including the strategic spin-off of its research-based pharmaceuticals into AbbVie in 2013. Abbott's commitment to innovation and quality positions it as a key player in the global healthcare market, where it continuously seeks to enhance health outcomes through advanced technology and comprehensive solutions.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.02% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $112.68 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.99 (3.42%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.15% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of February 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $6.03 (5.08%).
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ABT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 26, 2022
End date: January 15, 2026

a = 4.3584

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0606

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0606) – 1
= 27.45%

August 26, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 556 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3584 + 0.0003 × 556 + 2 × 0.0606)
= Exp(4.6390)
= $103.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 556 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3584 + 0.0003 × 556 – 2 × 0.0606)
= Exp(4.3964)
= $81.16

January 15, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3584 + 0.0003 × 1,794 + 2 × 0.0606)
= Exp(4.9936)
= $147.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3584 + 0.0003 × 1,794 – 2 × 0.0606)
= Exp(4.7511)
= $115.71

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.02% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $112.68 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.99 (3.42%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 2, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026

a = 5.2460

b = -0.0002

s = 0.0222

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -8.15%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0222) – 1
= 9.30%

May 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,058)
= Exp(a + b × X1,058 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,536 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2460 + -0.0002 × 1,536 + 2 × 0.0222)
= Exp(4.9325)
= $138.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,058)
= Exp(a + b × X1,058 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,536 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2460 + -0.0002 × 1,536 – 2 × 0.0222)
= Exp(4.8436)
= $126.92

January 21, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2460 + -0.0002 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0222)
= Exp(4.8710)
= $130.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2460 + -0.0002 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0222)
= Exp(4.7821)
= $119.35

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.15% per annum.
  • ABT price at the close of February 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $6.03 (5.08%).