Stock Price Trends

Insulet Corporation (PODD)

Insulet Corporation (PODD) specializes in the development and manufacturing of innovative insulin delivery systems for individuals with insulin-dependent diabetes, aimed at enhancing patient quality of life and managing health outcomes. Headquartered in Acton, Massachusetts, Insulet is best known for its Omnipod® Insulin Management System, which offers a tubeless, wearable pump solution that promotes greater flexibility and ease of use for patients. With a strong commitment to improving diabetes management, the company continues to advance its technology portfolio and expand its global reach, positioning itself as a leader in the diabetes care market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 43.23% per annum.
  • PODD price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $242.74 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $65.17 (21.17%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 44.13% per annum.
  • PODD price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PODD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 7, 2023
End date: December 5, 2025

a = 4.1218

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0931

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 43.23%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0931) – 1
= 45.13%

September 7, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y644)
= Exp(a + b × X644 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 933 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1218 + 0.0010 × 933 + 2 × 0.0931)
= Exp(5.2263)
= $186.11

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y644)
= Exp(a + b × X644 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 933 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1218 + 0.0010 × 933 – 2 × 0.0931)
= Exp(4.8538)
= $128.23

December 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,753 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1218 + 0.0010 × 1,753 + 2 × 0.0931)
= Exp(6.0334)
= $417.13

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,753 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1218 + 0.0010 × 1,753 – 2 × 0.0931)
= Exp(5.6609)
= $287.41

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 43.23% per annum.
  • PODD price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $242.74 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $65.17 (21.17%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 20, 2025
End date: February 13, 2026

a = 8.4881

b = -0.0016

s = 0.0463

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -44.13%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0463) – 1
= 20.37%

August 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4881 + -0.0016 × 1,646 + 2 × 0.0463)
= Exp(5.9555)
= $385.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4881 + -0.0016 × 1,646 – 2 × 0.0463)
= Exp(5.7702)
= $320.59

February 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4881 + -0.0016 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0463)
= Exp(5.6732)
= $290.97

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.4881 + -0.0016 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0463)
= Exp(5.4879)
= $241.74

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 44.13% per annum.
  • PODD price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.