Stock Price Trends

Hologic Inc (HOLX)

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) is a leading medical technology company dedicated to advancing women's health through innovative diagnostic, surgical, and medical imaging solutions. With a strong portfolio that includes products for breast health, cervical cancer screening, and diagnostics, Hologic is at the forefront of healthcare innovation. The company's commitment to improving patient outcomes and enhancing the quality of care is reinforced by its robust research and development initiatives, positioning it as a key player in the global healthcare landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 44.00% per annum.
  • HOLX price at the close of February 9, 2026 was $75.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.62% per annum.
  • HOLX price at the close of February 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HOLX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 8, 2025
End date: February 9, 2026

a = 2.5414

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0363

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 44.00%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0363) – 1
= 15.64%

April 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,044)
= Exp(a + b × X1,044 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,518 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5414 + 0.0010 × 1,518 + 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.1306)
= $62.21

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,044)
= Exp(a + b × X1,044 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,518 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5414 + 0.0010 × 1,518 – 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(3.9853)
= $53.80

February 9, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5414 + 0.0010 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.4373)
= $84.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5414 + 0.0010 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.2920)
= $73.11

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 44.00% per annum.
  • HOLX price at the close of February 9, 2026 was $75.02 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 21, 2025
End date: February 9, 2026

a = 4.0938

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0035

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.62%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0035) – 1
= 1.41%

October 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0938 + 0.0001 × 1,714 + 2 × 0.0035)
= Exp(4.3130)
= $74.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0938 + 0.0001 × 1,714 – 2 × 0.0035)
= Exp(4.2989)
= $73.62

February 9, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0938 + 0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0035)
= Exp(4.3267)
= $75.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0938 + 0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0035)
= Exp(4.3127)
= $74.64

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.62% per annum.
  • HOLX price at the close of February 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.