LivaNova PLC (LIVN)
LivaNova PLC, a medical device company, designs, develops, manufactures and sells therapeutic solutions globally. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.33% per annum.
- LIVN price at the close of May 7, 2024 was $63.12 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $19.31 (44.08%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.37% per annum.
- LIVN price at the close of May 7, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.01 (1.63%).
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LIVN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 25, 2021
End date: July 7, 2023
a = 5.0976
b = -0.0008
s = 0.1056
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -26.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1056) – 1
= 52.57%
February 25, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y454)
= Exp(a + b × X454 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 659 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0976 + -0.0008 × 659 + 2 × 0.1056)
= Exp(4.7570)
= $116.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y454)
= Exp(a + b × X454 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 659 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0976 + -0.0008 × 659 – 2 × 0.1056)
= Exp(4.3346)
= $76.29
July 7, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,521 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0976 + -0.0008 × 1,521 + 2 × 0.1056)
= Exp(4.0352)
= $56.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,521 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0976 + -0.0008 × 1,521 – 2 × 0.1056)
= Exp(3.6128)
= $37.07
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.33% per annum.
- LIVN price at the close of May 7, 2024 was $63.12 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $19.31 (44.08%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2022
End date: May 7, 2024
a = 3.7893
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0869
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.37%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0869) – 1
= 41.56%
September 16, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7893 + 0.0001 × 1,227 + 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(4.0745)
= $58.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7893 + 0.0001 × 1,227 – 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(3.7270)
= $41.55
May 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7893 + 0.0001 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(4.1289)
= $62.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7893 + 0.0001 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0869)
= Exp(3.7814)
= $43.88
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.37% per annum.
- LIVN price at the close of May 7, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.01 (1.63%).