Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)
Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) is an equity real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in strategically acquiring, developing, and managing retail and mixed-use properties in high-density urban areas. The company emphasizes long-term value creation through a disciplined investment approach and an experienced management team adept in market analysis and property positioning. Acadia is committed to enhancing its portfolio’s performance by identifying high-quality assets and leveraging its expertise in urban real estate trends, thereby providing attractive returns for its shareholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.45% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $20.99 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.88 (15.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 9.07% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of March 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 14, 2022
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 1.9183
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0925
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 34.45%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0925) – 1
= 44.76%
September 14, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y387)
= Exp(a + b × X387 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9183 + 0.0008 × 560 + 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(2.5575)
= $12.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y387)
= Exp(a + b × X387 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9183 + 0.0008 × 560 – 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(2.1875)
= $8.91
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,026)
= Exp(a + b × X1,026 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,491 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9183 + 0.0008 × 1,491 + 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(3.3126)
= $27.46
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,026)
= Exp(a + b × X1,026 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,491 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9183 + 0.0008 × 1,491 – 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(2.9427)
= $18.97
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.45% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $20.99 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.88 (15.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 30, 2024
End date: March 2, 2026
a = 3.4199
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0706
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -9.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0706) – 1
= 32.61%
July 30, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4199 + -0.0003 × 1,245 + 2 × 0.0706)
= Exp(3.2366)
= $25.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4199 + -0.0003 × 1,245 – 2 × 0.0706)
= Exp(2.9544)
= $19.19
March 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4199 + -0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0706)
= Exp(3.0855)
= $21.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4199 + -0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0706)
= Exp(2.8032)
= $16.50
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 9.07% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of March 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.