Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)
Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) is an equity real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in strategically acquiring, developing, and managing retail and mixed-use properties in high-density urban areas. The company emphasizes long-term value creation through a disciplined investment approach and an experienced management team adept in market analysis and property positioning. Acadia is committed to enhancing its portfolio’s performance by identifying high-quality assets and leveraging its expertise in urban real estate trends, thereby providing attractive returns for its shareholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.26% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was $19.84 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.14 (13.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 27.35% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.93 (4.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 21, 2022
End date: March 26, 2025
a = 1.8063
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0908
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 35.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0908) – 1
= 43.82%
September 21, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y477)
= Exp(a + b × X477 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 693 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8063 + 0.0008 × 693 + 2 × 0.0908)
= Exp(2.5614)
= $12.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y477)
= Exp(a + b × X477 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 693 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8063 + 0.0008 × 693 – 2 × 0.0908)
= Exp(2.1980)
= $9.01
March 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,106)
= Exp(a + b × X1,106 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8063 + 0.0008 × 1,610 + 2 × 0.0908)
= Exp(3.3202)
= $27.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,106)
= Exp(a + b × X1,106 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8063 + 0.0008 × 1,610 – 2 × 0.0908)
= Exp(2.9568)
= $19.24
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.26% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was $19.84 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.14 (13.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 12, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025
a = 4.4331
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0522
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -27.35%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0522) – 1
= 23.22%
September 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4331 + -0.0009 × 1,415 + 2 × 0.0522)
= Exp(3.2986)
= $27.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4331 + -0.0009 × 1,415 – 2 × 0.0522)
= Exp(3.0898)
= $21.97
August 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4331 + -0.0009 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0522)
= Exp(2.9983)
= $20.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4331 + -0.0009 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0522)
= Exp(2.7895)
= $16.27
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 27.35% per annum.
- AKR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.93 (4.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.