Stock Price Trends

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.03% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $22.85 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.98% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025

a = 2.8931

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0192

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.03%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0192) – 1
= 7.98%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8931 + 0.0006 × 307 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.1260)
= $22.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8931 + 0.0006 × 307 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.0493)
= $21.10

December 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y299)
= Exp(a + b × X299 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 435 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8931 + 0.0006 × 435 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.2072)
= $24.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y299)
= Exp(a + b × X299 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 435 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8931 + 0.0006 × 435 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.1304)
= $22.88

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.03% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $22.85 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 25, 2025
End date: December 10, 2025

a = 4.5075

b = -0.0031

s = 0.0064

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0031) – 1
= -67.98%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0064) – 1
= 2.59%

November 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y292)
= Exp(a + b × X292 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 425 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5075 + -0.0031 × 425 + 2 × 0.0064)
= Exp(3.1945)
= $24.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y292)
= Exp(a + b × X292 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 425 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5075 + -0.0031 × 425 – 2 × 0.0064)
= Exp(3.1689)
= $23.78

December 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y302)
= Exp(a + b × X302 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 440 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5075 + -0.0031 × 440 + 2 × 0.0064)
= Exp(3.1477)
= $23.28

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y302)
= Exp(a + b × X302 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 440 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5075 + -0.0031 × 440 – 2 × 0.0064)
= Exp(3.1221)
= $22.69

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.98% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of December 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.