Stock Price Trends

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.13% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $24.00 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 64.43% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: January 14, 2026

a = 2.9474

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0198

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.13%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0198) – 1
= 8.24%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9474 + 0.0005 × 307 + 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(3.1272)
= $22.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9474 + 0.0005 × 307 – 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(3.0480)
= $21.07

January 14, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y325)
= Exp(a + b × X325 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 475 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9474 + 0.0005 × 475 + 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(3.2038)
= $24.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y325)
= Exp(a + b × X325 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 475 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9474 + 0.0005 × 475 – 2 × 0.0198)
= Exp(3.1246)
= $22.75

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.13% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 14, 2026 was $24.00 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 10, 2025
End date: January 14, 2026

a = 2.5220

b = 0.0014

s = 0.0082

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 64.43%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0082) – 1
= 3.32%

December 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y302)
= Exp(a + b × X302 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 440 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5220 + 0.0014 × 440 + 2 × 0.0082)
= Exp(3.1378)
= $23.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y302)
= Exp(a + b × X302 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 440 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5220 + 0.0014 × 440 – 2 × 0.0082)
= Exp(3.1052)
= $22.31

January 14, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y325)
= Exp(a + b × X325 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 475 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5220 + 0.0014 × 475 + 2 × 0.0082)
= Exp(3.1855)
= $24.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y325)
= Exp(a + b × X325 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 475 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5220 + 0.0014 × 475 – 2 × 0.0082)
= Exp(3.1529)
= $23.40

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 64.43% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 14, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.