Stock Price Trends

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 25.83% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of February 18, 2026 was $26.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.75 (2.90%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 653.29% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of February 18, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: February 18, 2026

a = 2.8834

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0251

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 25.83%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0251) – 1
= 10.54%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8834 + 0.0006 × 307 + 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(3.1268)
= $22.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8834 + 0.0006 × 307 – 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(3.0266)
= $20.63

February 18, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y348)
= Exp(a + b × X348 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8834 + 0.0006 × 510 + 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(3.2546)
= $25.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y348)
= Exp(a + b × X348 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8834 + 0.0006 × 510 – 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(3.1544)
= $23.44

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 25.83% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of February 18, 2026 was $26.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.75 (2.90%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 26, 2026
End date: February 18, 2026

a = 0.4671

b = 0.0055

s = 0.0107

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0055) – 1
= 653.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0107) – 1
= 4.36%

January 26, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y332)
= Exp(a + b × X332 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 487 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4671 + 0.0055 × 487 + 2 × 0.0107)
= Exp(3.1826)
= $24.11

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y332)
= Exp(a + b × X332 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 487 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4671 + 0.0055 × 487 – 2 × 0.0107)
= Exp(3.1399)
= $23.10

February 18, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y348)
= Exp(a + b × X348 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4671 + 0.0055 × 510 + 2 × 0.0107)
= Exp(3.3099)
= $27.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y348)
= Exp(a + b × X348 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4671 + 0.0055 × 510 – 2 × 0.0107)
= Exp(3.2672)
= $26.24

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 653.29% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of February 18, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.