Stock Price Trends

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.46% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $24.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 267.70% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 21, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026

a = 2.9363

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0201

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.46%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0201) – 1
= 8.37%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9363 + 0.0005 × 307 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.1260)
= $22.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9363 + 0.0005 × 307 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.0457)
= $21.02

January 21, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y329)
= Exp(a + b × X329 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 482 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9363 + 0.0005 × 482 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.2112)
= $24.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y329)
= Exp(a + b × X329 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 482 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9363 + 0.0005 × 482 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.1309)
= $22.89

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.46% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $24.41 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 2, 2026
End date: January 21, 2026

a = 1.4848

b = 0.0036

s = 0.0072

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0036) – 1
= 267.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0072) – 1
= 2.92%

January 2, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y317)
= Exp(a + b × X317 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 463 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4848 + 0.0036 × 463 + 2 × 0.0072)
= Exp(3.1509)
= $23.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y317)
= Exp(a + b × X317 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 463 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4848 + 0.0036 × 463 – 2 × 0.0072)
= Exp(3.1221)
= $22.69

January 21, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y329)
= Exp(a + b × X329 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 482 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4848 + 0.0036 × 482 + 2 × 0.0072)
= Exp(3.2187)
= $25.00

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y329)
= Exp(a + b × X329 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 482 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4848 + 0.0036 × 482 – 2 × 0.0072)
= Exp(3.1899)
= $24.29

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 267.70% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 21, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.