Stock Price Trends

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.02% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 8, 2026 was $23.47 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 9.83% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 8, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025

a = 2.8849

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0192

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0192) – 1
= 7.97%

July 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8849 + 0.0006 × 307 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.1178)
= $22.60

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y209)
= Exp(a + b × X209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8849 + 0.0006 × 307 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.0411)
= $20.93

December 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y299)
= Exp(a + b × X299 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 435 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8849 + 0.0006 × 435 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.1989)
= $24.51

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y299)
= Exp(a + b × X299 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 435 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8849 + 0.0006 × 435 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(3.1222)
= $22.70

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.02% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 8, 2026 was $23.47 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 17, 2025
End date: January 7, 2026

a = 3.2674

b = -0.0003

s = 0.0169

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -9.83%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0169) – 1
= 6.97%

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2674 + -0.0003 × 386 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.1917)
= $24.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2674 + -0.0003 × 386 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.1243)
= $22.74

January 7, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y320)
= Exp(a + b × X320 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 468 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2674 + -0.0003 × 468 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.1685)
= $23.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y320)
= Exp(a + b × X320 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 468 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2674 + -0.0003 × 468 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.1011)
= $22.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 9.83% per annum.
  • CURB price at the close of January 8, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.