Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM)
Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of open-air shopping centers across the United States. With a diverse portfolio that includes anchored retail properties in key markets, Kimco is focused on enhancing tenant synergy and enhancing community engagement. The company leverages its extensive market knowledge to drive value creation, making it a compelling investment option for institutional investors seeking exposure to the retail real estate sector amidst an evolving consumer landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 20.42% per annum.
- KIM price at the close of November 19, 2025 was $20.01 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.39 (10.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 6.58% per annum.
- KIM price at the close of November 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KIM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 10, 2023
End date: February 14, 2025
a = 2.3248
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0725
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 20.42%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0725) – 1
= 33.62%
March 10, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y577)
= Exp(a + b × X577 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 840 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3248 + 0.0005 × 840 + 2 × 0.0725)
= Exp(2.8974)
= $18.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y577)
= Exp(a + b × X577 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 840 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3248 + 0.0005 × 840 – 2 × 0.0725)
= Exp(2.6076)
= $13.57
February 14, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,547 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3248 + 0.0005 × 1,547 + 2 × 0.0725)
= Exp(3.2574)
= $25.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,547 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3248 + 0.0005 × 1,547 – 2 × 0.0725)
= Exp(2.9676)
= $19.44
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 20.42% per annum.
- KIM price at the close of November 19, 2025 was $20.01 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.39 (10.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 20, 2024
End date: November 19, 2025
a = 3.3688
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0475
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -6.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0475) – 1
= 20.92%
August 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,369 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3688 + -0.0002 × 1,369 + 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.2086)
= $24.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,369 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3688 + -0.0002 × 1,369 – 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.0187)
= $20.46
November 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3688 + -0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.1237)
= $22.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3688 + -0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(2.9337)
= $18.80
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 6.58% per annum.
- KIM price at the close of November 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.