Stock Price Trends

Regency Centers Corporation (REG)

Regency Centers Corporation is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of shopping centers, predominantly featuring grocery stores as anchor tenants. With a diversified portfolio strategically located in high-barrier-to-entry markets, Regency focuses on enhancing the shopping experience through innovative design and tenant mix. The company is committed to sustainability and community engagement, positioning itself as a responsible real estate steward in the retail sector. Through its disciplined capital allocation and asset management strategies, Regency aims to deliver consistent, long-term value to its shareholders.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.31% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $70.37 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.92% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of REG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 30, 2024
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 4.1985

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0206

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.31%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0206) – 1
= 8.60%

August 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y976)
= Exp(a + b × X976 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1985 + 0.0000 × 1,417 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.2903)
= $72.99

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y976)
= Exp(a + b × X976 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1985 + 0.0000 × 1,417 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.2078)
= $67.21

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1985 + 0.0000 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.3048)
= $74.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1985 + 0.0000 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.2223)
= $68.19

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.31% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $70.37 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 25, 2025
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 3.7134

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0132

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.92%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0132) – 1
= 5.40%

June 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7134 + 0.0003 × 1,716 + 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.2694)
= $71.48

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7134 + 0.0003 × 1,716 – 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.2167)
= $67.81

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7134 + 0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.3024)
= $73.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7134 + 0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.2498)
= $70.09

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.92% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.