Stock Price Trends

Regency Centers Corporation (REG)

Regency Centers Corporation is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of shopping centers, predominantly featuring grocery stores as anchor tenants. With a diversified portfolio strategically located in high-barrier-to-entry markets, Regency focuses on enhancing the shopping experience through innovative design and tenant mix. The company is committed to sustainability and community engagement, positioning itself as a responsible real estate steward in the retail sector. Through its disciplined capital allocation and asset management strategies, Regency aims to deliver consistent, long-term value to its shareholders.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.27% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of February 20, 2026 was $76.85 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 0.60% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of February 20, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.82 (5.23%).

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of REG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 7, 2023
End date: October 28, 2025

a = 3.6806

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0508

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.27%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0508) – 1
= 22.55%

March 7, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y513)
= Exp(a + b × X513 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 743 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6806 + 0.0004 × 743 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.0539)
= $57.62

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y513)
= Exp(a + b × X513 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 743 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6806 + 0.0004 × 743 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(3.8505)
= $47.02

October 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,709 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6806 + 0.0004 × 1,709 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.4070)
= $82.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,709 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6806 + 0.0004 × 1,709 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.2037)
= $66.93

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.27% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of February 20, 2026 was $76.85 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2024
End date: January 29, 2026

a = 4.2189

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0210

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 0.60%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0210) – 1
= 8.77%

August 23, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y882)
= Exp(a + b × X882 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,278 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2189 + 0.0000 × 1,278 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(4.2820)
= $72.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y882)
= Exp(a + b × X882 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,278 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2189 + 0.0000 × 1,278 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(4.1979)
= $66.55

January 29, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2189 + 0.0000 × 1,802 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(4.2906)
= $73.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2189 + 0.0000 × 1,802 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(4.2065)
= $67.12

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 0.60% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of February 20, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.82 (5.23%).