Stock Price Trends

Regency Centers Corporation (REG)

Regency Centers Corporation is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of shopping centers, predominantly featuring grocery stores as anchor tenants. With a diversified portfolio strategically located in high-barrier-to-entry markets, Regency focuses on enhancing the shopping experience through innovative design and tenant mix. The company is committed to sustainability and community engagement, positioning itself as a responsible real estate steward in the retail sector. Through its disciplined capital allocation and asset management strategies, Regency aims to deliver consistent, long-term value to its shareholders.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.33% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of November 20, 2025 was $69.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.06% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of November 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of REG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 9, 2023
End date: October 27, 2025

a = 3.6565

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0508

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.33%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0508) – 1
= 22.56%

March 9, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y575)
= Exp(a + b × X575 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 836 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6565 + 0.0004 × 836 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.0649)
= $58.26

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y575)
= Exp(a + b × X575 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 836 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6565 + 0.0004 × 836 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(3.8615)
= $47.54

October 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6565 + 0.0004 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.4182)
= $82.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6565 + 0.0004 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.2148)
= $67.68

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.33% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of November 20, 2025 was $69.41 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 28, 2024
End date: November 20, 2025

a = 4.2102

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0207

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.06%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0207) – 1
= 8.65%

August 28, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y945)
= Exp(a + b × X945 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,374 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2102 + 0.0000 × 1,374 + 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.2912)
= $73.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y945)
= Exp(a + b × X945 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,374 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2102 + 0.0000 × 1,374 – 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.2082)
= $67.24

November 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2102 + 0.0000 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.3041)
= $74.00

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2102 + 0.0000 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.2212)
= $68.11

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1.06% per annum.
  • REG price at the close of November 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.