National Retail Properties Inc (NNN)
National Retail Properties Inc. (NNN) is a premier real estate investment trust (REIT) focusing on the acquisition and management of high-quality retail properties across the United States, which are typically subject to long-term net leases. With a diversified portfolio that includes well-known national and regional retail brands, the company aims to provide stable and predictable cash flows while delivering value for shareholders. NNN's disciplined investment strategy and commitment to portfolio quality position it as a leading player in the net lease sector, catering to the growing demand for high-quality retail space in a dynamic market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 121.16% per annum.
- NNN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was $44.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 218.78% per annum.
- NNN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NNN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 19, 2025
End date: February 24, 2026
a = -0.1726
b = 0.0022
s = 0.0129
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 121.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0129) – 1
= 5.30%
December 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1726 + 0.0022 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0129)
= Exp(3.6761)
= $39.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1726 + 0.0022 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0129)
= Exp(3.6244)
= $37.50
February 24, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1726 + 0.0022 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0129)
= Exp(3.8217)
= $45.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1726 + 0.0022 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0129)
= Exp(3.7701)
= $43.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 121.16% per annum.
- NNN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was $44.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 28, 2026
End date: February 24, 2026
a = -1.9903
b = 0.0032
s = 0.0103
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 218.78%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0103) – 1
= 4.21%
January 28, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9903 + 0.0032 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0103)
= Exp(3.7413)
= $42.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9903 + 0.0032 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0103)
= Exp(3.7001)
= $40.45
February 24, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9903 + 0.0032 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0103)
= Exp(3.8271)
= $45.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9903 + 0.0032 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0103)
= Exp(3.7858)
= $44.07
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 218.78% per annum.
- NNN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.