Phillips Edison & Co Inc (PECO)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.81% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of November 12, 2025 was $34.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 39.01% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of November 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PECO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 4, 2024
End date: November 12, 2025
a = 3.8260
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0256
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -6.81%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0256) – 1
= 10.80%
September 4, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y789)
= Exp(a + b × X789 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,147 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8260 + -0.0002 × 1,147 + 2 × 0.0256)
= Exp(3.6557)
= $38.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y789)
= Exp(a + b × X789 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,147 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8260 + -0.0002 × 1,147 – 2 × 0.0256)
= Exp(3.5532)
= $34.92
November 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8260 + -0.0002 × 1,581 + 2 × 0.0256)
= Exp(3.5719)
= $35.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8260 + -0.0002 × 1,581 – 2 × 0.0256)
= Exp(3.4693)
= $32.12
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.81% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of November 12, 2025 was $34.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 2, 2025
End date: November 12, 2025
a = 2.1211
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0109
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 39.01%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0109) – 1
= 4.44%
October 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,540 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1211 + 0.0009 × 1,540 + 2 × 0.0109)
= Exp(3.5325)
= $34.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,540 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1211 + 0.0009 × 1,540 – 2 × 0.0109)
= Exp(3.4890)
= $32.75
November 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1211 + 0.0009 × 1,581 + 2 × 0.0109)
= Exp(3.5695)
= $35.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1211 + 0.0009 × 1,581 – 2 × 0.0109)
= Exp(3.5260)
= $33.99
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 39.01% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of November 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.