Phillips Edison & Co Inc (PECO)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.25% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of January 9, 2026 was $34.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 31.64% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of January 9, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.35 (0.99%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PECO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2024
End date: November 20, 2025
a = 3.7973
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0259
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -6.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0259) – 1
= 10.92%
August 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y783)
= Exp(a + b × X783 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,138 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7973 + -0.0002 × 1,138 + 2 × 0.0259)
= Exp(3.6479)
= $38.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y783)
= Exp(a + b × X783 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,138 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7973 + -0.0002 × 1,138 – 2 × 0.0259)
= Exp(3.5442)
= $34.61
November 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,094)
= Exp(a + b × X1,094 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,589 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7973 + -0.0002 × 1,589 + 2 × 0.0259)
= Exp(3.5681)
= $35.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,094)
= Exp(a + b × X1,094 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,589 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7973 + -0.0002 × 1,589 – 2 × 0.0259)
= Exp(3.4644)
= $31.96
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.25% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of January 9, 2026 was $34.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 29, 2025
End date: January 2, 2026
a = 2.3496
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0119
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 31.64%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0119) – 1
= 4.89%
September 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,056)
= Exp(a + b × X1,056 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,537 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3496 + 0.0008 × 1,537 + 2 × 0.0119)
= Exp(3.5310)
= $34.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,056)
= Exp(a + b × X1,056 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,537 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3496 + 0.0008 × 1,537 – 2 × 0.0119)
= Exp(3.4833)
= $32.57
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,122)
= Exp(a + b × X1,122 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,632 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3496 + 0.0008 × 1,632 + 2 × 0.0119)
= Exp(3.6026)
= $36.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,122)
= Exp(a + b × X1,122 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,632 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3496 + 0.0008 × 1,632 – 2 × 0.0119)
= Exp(3.5548)
= $34.98
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 31.64% per annum.
- PECO price at the close of January 9, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.35 (0.99%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.