Stock Price Trends

Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG)

Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) is a leading vertically integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the ownership, operation, and development of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties across the United States. With a strategic emphasis on enhancing the consumer experience, KRG’s portfolio features well-located shopping centers that cater to the needs of diverse communities. The company's robust management team is dedicated to leveraging market opportunities to drive sustainable growth and generate value for its investors through long-term asset appreciation and strong tenant relationships.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.03% per annum.
  • KRG price at the close of March 5, 2026 was $25.86 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 256.82% per annum.
  • KRG price at the close of March 5, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KRG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 16, 2025
End date: March 5, 2026

a = 1.2339

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0239

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 49.03%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0239) – 1
= 10.01%

September 16, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,653 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2339 + 0.0011 × 1,653 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(3.0884)
= $21.94

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,653 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2339 + 0.0011 × 1,653 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(2.9930)
= $19.95

March 5, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2339 + 0.0011 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(3.2742)
= $26.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2339 + 0.0011 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(3.1788)
= $24.02

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.03% per annum.
  • KRG price at the close of March 5, 2026 was $25.86 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 22, 2026
End date: March 5, 2026

a = -3.0713

b = 0.0035

s = 0.0161

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0035) – 1
= 256.82%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0161) – 1
= 6.67%

January 22, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0713 + 0.0035 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(3.1680)
= $23.76

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0713 + 0.0035 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(3.1034)
= $22.27

March 5, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0713 + 0.0035 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(3.3143)
= $27.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0713 + 0.0035 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0161)
= Exp(3.2498)
= $25.79

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 256.82% per annum.
  • KRG price at the close of March 5, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.