Getty Realty Corporation (GTY)
Getty Realty Corp.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.07% per annum.
- GTY price at the close of September 11, 2025 was $28.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 36.30% per annum.
- GTY price at the close of September 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GTY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2024
End date: September 11, 2025
a = 3.7986
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0257
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -9.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0257) – 1
= 10.83%
August 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y993)
= Exp(a + b × X993 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,442 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7986 + -0.0003 × 1,442 + 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(3.4744)
= $32.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y993)
= Exp(a + b × X993 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,442 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7986 + -0.0003 × 1,442 – 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(3.3716)
= $29.12
September 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7986 + -0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(3.3752)
= $29.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7986 + -0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(3.2724)
= $26.37
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.07% per annum.
- GTY price at the close of September 11, 2025 was $28.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 7, 2025
End date: September 11, 2025
a = 1.8150
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0122
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 36.30%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0122) – 1
= 5.01%
July 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,207)
= Exp(a + b × X1,207 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8150 + 0.0008 × 1,757 + 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(3.3301)
= $27.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,207)
= Exp(a + b × X1,207 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8150 + 0.0008 × 1,757 – 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(3.2812)
= $26.61
September 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8150 + 0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(3.3861)
= $29.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8150 + 0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0122)
= Exp(3.3372)
= $28.14
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 36.30% per annum.
- GTY price at the close of September 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.