Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC)
Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC) is a leading global supplier of animal health and nutrition products, focusing on enhancing the health, well-being, and productivity of livestock across various species. Headquartered in Teaneck, New Jersey, Phibro leverages its expertise in veterinary pharmaceuticals and nutritional products to address diverse challenges faced by livestock producers, primarily in the United States. The company's innovative solutions, backed by a strong commitment to research and development, position it as a trusted partner in improving animal health, thereby contributing to the efficiency and sustainability of the agricultural sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 85.32% per annum.
- PAHC price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $40.15 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 301.46% per annum.
- PAHC price at the close of December 12, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.56 (1.36%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PAHC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 27, 2023
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 0.5784
b = 0.0017
s = 0.1403
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 85.32%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1403) – 1
= 75.28%
September 27, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y699)
= Exp(a + b × X699 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,016 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5784 + 0.0017 × 1,016 + 2 × 0.1403)
= Exp(2.5762)
= $13.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y699)
= Exp(a + b × X699 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,016 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5784 + 0.0017 × 1,016 – 2 × 0.1403)
= Exp(2.0149)
= $7.50
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5784 + 0.0017 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1403)
= Exp(3.9401)
= $51.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5784 + 0.0017 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1403)
= Exp(3.3789)
= $29.34
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 85.32% per annum.
- PAHC price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $40.15 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = -3.0588
b = 0.0038
s = 0.0885
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0038) – 1
= 301.46%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0885) – 1
= 42.45%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0588 + 0.0038 × 1,570 + 2 × 0.0885)
= Exp(3.0967)
= $22.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0588 + 0.0038 × 1,570 – 2 × 0.0885)
= Exp(2.7429)
= $15.53
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0588 + 0.0038 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0885)
= Exp(4.0602)
= $57.99
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.0588 + 0.0038 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0885)
= Exp(3.7064)
= $40.71
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 301.46% per annum.
- PAHC price at the close of December 12, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.56 (1.36%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.