Prestige Brand Holdings Inc (PBH)
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. (Ticker: PBH) is a leading player in the over-the-counter healthcare sector, specializing in the development, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of a diverse portfolio of OTC products. Headquartered in Tarrytown, New York, the company operates both domestically and internationally, leveraging its strong brand portfolio to capitalize on consumer demand for health and wellness solutions. With a commitment to innovation and quality, Prestige aims to enhance the well-being of consumers while delivering substantial shareholder value. The company's strategic focus on growing its product offerings positions it well for sustained growth in an evolving healthcare landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.25% per annum.
- PBH price at the close of February 4, 2026 was $67.03 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.67 (9.25%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 83.17% per annum.
- PBH price at the close of February 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PBH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 6, 2025
End date: January 2, 2026
a = 6.5833
b = -0.0014
s = 0.0540
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -40.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0540) – 1
= 24.13%
February 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,005)
= Exp(a + b × X1,005 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,462 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5833 + -0.0014 × 1,462 + 2 × 0.0540)
= Exp(4.6288)
= $102.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,005)
= Exp(a + b × X1,005 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,462 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5833 + -0.0014 × 1,462 – 2 × 0.0540)
= Exp(4.4127)
= $82.49
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5833 + -0.0014 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0540)
= Exp(4.1632)
= $64.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,232)
= Exp(a + b × X1,232 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5833 + -0.0014 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0540)
= Exp(3.9471)
= $51.78
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.25% per annum.
- PBH price at the close of February 4, 2026 was $67.03 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.67 (9.25%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 13, 2025
End date: January 26, 2026
a = 1.1773
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0136
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 83.17%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0136) – 1
= 5.61%
November 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1773 + 0.0017 × 1,742 + 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(4.0931)
= $59.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1773 + 0.0017 × 1,742 – 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(4.0385)
= $56.74
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1773 + 0.0017 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(4.2158)
= $67.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1773 + 0.0017 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0136)
= Exp(4.1612)
= $64.15
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 83.17% per annum.
- PBH price at the close of February 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.