Stock Price Trends

Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. (PBH)

at prestige brands, now prestige consumer healthcare, we focus on product innovation and quality in over-the-counter healthcare products to improve the lives of our customers worldwide. you may not know who prestige consumer healthcare is, but you know and use our products: clear eyes, dentek, summer's eve, monistat, bc, goody's, dramamine, and many more. for generations, our trusted brands have helped consumers care for themselves and their loved ones. our mission is to preserve this trust by continuing to provide products stewarded with our customer needs in mind. prestige consumer healthcare is a different kind of company. we are the largest independent provider of over-the-counter healthcare products in north america yet we are nimble enough to give detailed attention to each and every one of our product offerings. we are constantly improving, creating products that match the ever-changing lifestyles and needs of people and families everywhere. prestige’s success as a company is th

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 3.76% per annum.
  • PBH price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $69.14 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.64 (0.94%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 307.36% per annum.
  • PBH price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PBH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

June 10, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 7, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 3.76% per annum.
  • PBH price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $69.14 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.64 (0.94%).

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

January 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 307.36% per annum.
  • PBH price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.