Stock Price Trends

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated (CORT)

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated discovers, develops, and markets drugs for the treatment of severe metabolic, cancer, and psychiatric disorders in the United States. The company is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 202.42% per annum.
  • CORT price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $70.95 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.74% per annum.
  • CORT price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CORT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 22, 2024
End date: February 28, 2025

a = -1.1383

b = 0.0030

s = 0.0842

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0030) – 1
= 202.42%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0842) – 1
= 40.06%

January 22, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y938)
= Exp(a + b × X938 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1383 + 0.0030 × 1,363 + 2 × 0.0842)
= Exp(3.1626)
= $23.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y938)
= Exp(a + b × X938 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1383 + 0.0030 × 1,363 – 2 × 0.0842)
= Exp(2.8257)
= $16.87

February 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,766 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1383 + 0.0030 × 1,766 + 2 × 0.0842)
= Exp(4.3845)
= $80.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,766 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1383 + 0.0030 × 1,766 – 2 × 0.0842)
= Exp(4.0476)
= $57.26

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 202.42% per annum.
  • CORT price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $70.95 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 30, 2024
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 1.4922

b = 0.0015

s = 0.0927

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 71.74%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0927) – 1
= 44.91%

September 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,615 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4922 + 0.0015 × 1,615 + 2 × 0.0927)
= Exp(4.0705)
= $58.59

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,615 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4922 + 0.0015 × 1,615 – 2 × 0.0927)
= Exp(3.6995)
= $40.43

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4922 + 0.0015 × 1,794 + 2 × 0.0927)
= Exp(4.3357)
= $76.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4922 + 0.0015 × 1,794 – 2 × 0.0927)
= Exp(3.9647)
= $52.71

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.74% per annum.
  • CORT price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.