Stock Price Trends

ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc (ANIP)

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development, manufacturing, and marketing of both brand-name and generic prescription pharmaceuticals in the United States and Canada. Headquartered in Baudette, Minnesota, ANI leverages its strong manufacturing capabilities and robust product pipeline to address the needs of patients and healthcare providers. With a commitment to delivering high-quality medications, the company targets various therapeutic areas, positioning itself for sustainable growth in the competitive pharmaceutical landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.42% per annum.
  • ANIP price at the close of February 4, 2026 was $81.27 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.26 (1.58%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.04% per annum.
  • ANIP price at the close of February 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ANIP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 28, 2025
End date: January 9, 2026

a = 7.4387

b = -0.0017

s = 0.0319

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -46.42%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0319) – 1
= 13.59%

August 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,145)
= Exp(a + b × X1,145 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,665 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4387 + -0.0017 × 1,665 + 2 × 0.0319)
= Exp(4.6557)
= $105.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,145)
= Exp(a + b × X1,145 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,665 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4387 + -0.0017 × 1,665 – 2 × 0.0319)
= Exp(4.5283)
= $92.60

January 9, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4387 + -0.0017 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0319)
= Exp(4.4266)
= $83.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.4387 + -0.0017 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0319)
= Exp(4.2992)
= $73.64

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.42% per annum.
  • ANIP price at the close of February 4, 2026 was $81.27 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.26 (1.58%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 14, 2025
End date: February 4, 2026

a = 4.4545

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0264

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -1.04%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0264) – 1
= 11.13%

November 14, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4545 + 0.0000 × 1,743 + 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(4.4572)
= $86.24

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4545 + 0.0000 × 1,743 – 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(4.3517)
= $77.61

February 4, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4545 + 0.0000 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(4.4548)
= $86.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4545 + 0.0000 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0264)
= Exp(4.3493)
= $77.43

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.04% per annum.
  • ANIP price at the close of February 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.