Ovintiv Inc (OVV)
Ovintiv Inc. is an integrated energy company focused on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons, primarily natural gas, petroleum, and natural gas liquids. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Ovintiv operates across key resource plays in North America, leveraging advanced technologies and innovative operational practices to optimize production and enhance profitability. The company's strategic initiatives aim to deliver sustainable value and reduce environmental impact while navigating the evolving energy landscape. As a leading player in the sector, Ovintiv is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and drive long-term growth for its stakeholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 3.47% per annum.
- OVV price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $38.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 11.78% per annum.
- OVV price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OVV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 28, 2022
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 3.8348
b = -0.0001
s = 0.1129
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1129) – 1
= 57.06%
February 28, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y294)
= Exp(a + b × X294 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 427 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8348 + -0.0001 × 427 + 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(4.0193)
= $55.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y294)
= Exp(a + b × X294 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 427 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8348 + -0.0001 × 427 – 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(3.5678)
= $35.44
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8348 + -0.0001 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(3.8844)
= $48.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8348 + -0.0001 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(3.4330)
= $30.97
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 3.47% per annum.
- OVV price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $38.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 28, 2024
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 4.2240
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0796
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -11.78%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0796) – 1
= 37.47%
February 28, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y796)
= Exp(a + b × X796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,157 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2240 + -0.0003 × 1,157 + 2 × 0.0796)
= Exp(3.9857)
= $53.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y796)
= Exp(a + b × X796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,157 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2240 + -0.0003 × 1,157 – 2 × 0.0796)
= Exp(3.6675)
= $39.15
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2240 + -0.0003 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0796)
= Exp(3.7573)
= $42.83
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2240 + -0.0003 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0796)
= Exp(3.4390)
= $31.16
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 11.78% per annum.
- OVV price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.