Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA)
Coterra Energy Inc. is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company based in Houston, Texas, focusing primarily on the development of its extensive portfolio of oil and gas properties across the United States. With a commitment to sustainable energy practices and operational excellence, Coterra strategically leverages advanced technologies and innovative techniques to maximize resource recovery while minimizing environmental impact. The company's diverse asset base and strong financial position enable it to navigate the dynamic energy market effectively, positioning Coterra as a key player in the sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.99% per annum.
- CTRA price at the close of January 30, 2026 was $28.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.16 (0.56%).
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,105.86% per annum.
- CTRA price at the close of January 30, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CTRA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 24, 2022
End date: January 21, 2026
a = 3.1674
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0699
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 0.99%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0699) – 1
= 32.28%
March 24, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y289)
= Exp(a + b × X289 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 416 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1674 + 0.0000 × 416 + 2 × 0.0699)
= Exp(3.3185)
= $27.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y289)
= Exp(a + b × X289 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 416 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1674 + 0.0000 × 416 – 2 × 0.0699)
= Exp(3.0388)
= $20.88
January 21, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1674 + 0.0000 × 1,815 + 2 × 0.0699)
= Exp(3.3563)
= $28.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1674 + 0.0000 × 1,815 – 2 × 0.0699)
= Exp(3.0766)
= $21.68
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.99% per annum.
- CTRA price at the close of January 30, 2026 was $28.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.16 (0.56%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 9, 2026
End date: January 30, 2026
a = -9.0962
b = 0.0068
s = 0.0097
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0068) – 1
= 1,105.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0097) – 1
= 3.96%
January 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.0962 + 0.0068 × 1,803 + 2 × 0.0097)
= Exp(3.2221)
= $25.08
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.0962 + 0.0068 × 1,803 – 2 × 0.0097)
= Exp(3.1832)
= $24.12
January 30, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.0962 + 0.0068 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0097)
= Exp(3.3653)
= $28.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.0962 + 0.0068 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0097)
= Exp(3.3264)
= $27.84
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,105.86% per annum.
- CTRA price at the close of January 30, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.