EOG Resources Inc (EOG)
EOG Resources, Inc. is an American energy company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is organized in Delaware and headquartered in the Heritage Plaza building in Houston, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.06% per annum.
- EOG price at the close of May 8, 2024 was $129.83 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 120.50% per annum.
- EOG price at the close of May 8, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EOG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 27, 2022
End date: May 8, 2024
a = 4.4408
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0782
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 8.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0782) – 1
= 36.74%
January 27, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y686)
= Exp(a + b × X686 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 994 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4408 + 0.0002 × 994 + 2 × 0.0782)
= Exp(4.8083)
= $122.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y686)
= Exp(a + b × X686 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 994 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4408 + 0.0002 × 994 – 2 × 0.0782)
= Exp(4.4954)
= $89.61
May 8, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4408 + 0.0002 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0782)
= Exp(4.9850)
= $146.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4408 + 0.0002 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0782)
= Exp(4.6721)
= $106.92
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.06% per annum.
- EOG price at the close of May 8, 2024 was $129.83 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 16, 2024
End date: May 8, 2024
a = 0.9658
b = 0.0022
s = 0.0293
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 120.50%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0293) – 1
= 12.42%
January 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,713 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9658 + 0.0022 × 1,713 + 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(4.7353)
= $113.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,713 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9658 + 0.0022 × 1,713 – 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(4.6182)
= $101.32
May 8, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9658 + 0.0022 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(4.9801)
= $145.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9658 + 0.0022 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(4.8630)
= $129.42
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 120.50% per annum.
- EOG price at the close of May 8, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.