Arcus Biosciences Inc (RCUS)
Arcus Biosciences, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing innovative cancer therapies, with a pipeline that includes both immune-oncology and targeted treatments designed to transform patient outcomes. Based in Hayward, California, Arcus is leveraging its proprietary platforms and strategic partnerships to develop therapies that harness the body's immune system against tumors. With a commitment to enhancing cancer care, the company is positioned for significant growth as it progresses its candidates through clinical trials and prepares for potential commercialization.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2,109.86% per annum.
- RCUS price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $21.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.46 (10.11%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.17% per annum.
- RCUS price at the close of December 15, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.61 (10.65%).
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RCUS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: December 11, 2025
a = -12.1787
b = 0.0085
s = 0.0527
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0085) – 1
= 2,109.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0527) – 1
= 23.46%
July 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-12.1787 + 0.0085 × 1,688 + 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(2.2424)
= $9.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-12.1787 + 0.0085 × 1,688 – 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(2.0317)
= $7.63
December 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-12.1787 + 0.0085 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(3.3704)
= $29.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-12.1787 + 0.0085 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(3.1596)
= $23.56
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2,109.86% per annum.
- RCUS price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $21.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.46 (10.11%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 26, 2025
End date: December 11, 2025
a = 6.2274
b = -0.0016
s = 0.0115
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -45.17%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0115) – 1
= 4.69%
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2274 + -0.0016 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0115)
= Exp(3.2767)
= $26.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2274 + -0.0016 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0115)
= Exp(3.2309)
= $25.30
December 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2274 + -0.0016 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0115)
= Exp(3.2520)
= $25.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2274 + -0.0016 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0115)
= Exp(3.2062)
= $24.68
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.17% per annum.
- RCUS price at the close of December 15, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $2.61 (10.65%).