Vericel Corp Ord (VCEL)
Vericel Corporation (VCEL) is a leading commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on innovative cell therapies for the sports medicine and severe burn care sectors in the United States. Headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, Vericel is dedicated to advancing the treatment options for patients through its proprietary products, including MACI® and Epicel®. With a robust commitment to research and development, the company aims to enhance patient outcomes and address unmet medical needs in regenerative medicine. Vericel's portfolio reflects its strategic focus on leveraging cutting-edge science to deliver impactful therapies in niche markets.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 50.89% per annum.
- VCEL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $37.64 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.89 (14.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 280.07% per annum.
- VCEL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.59 (4.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VCEL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 8, 2024
End date: October 16, 2025
a = 6.9065
b = -0.0019
s = 0.0690
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0019) – 1
= -50.89%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0690) – 1
= 31.76%
November 8, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y983)
= Exp(a + b × X983 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,428 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9065 + -0.0019 × 1,428 + 2 × 0.0690)
= Exp(4.2623)
= $70.97
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y983)
= Exp(a + b × X983 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,428 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9065 + -0.0019 × 1,428 – 2 × 0.0690)
= Exp(3.9865)
= $53.87
October 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9065 + -0.0019 × 1,770 + 2 × 0.0690)
= Exp(3.5960)
= $36.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9065 + -0.0019 × 1,770 – 2 × 0.0690)
= Exp(3.3202)
= $27.67
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 50.89% per annum.
- VCEL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $37.64 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.89 (14.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 9, 2025
End date: December 1, 2025
a = -2.9289
b = 0.0037
s = 0.0388
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 280.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0388) – 1
= 16.78%
September 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,189)
= Exp(a + b × X1,189 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.9289 + 0.0037 × 1,733 + 2 × 0.0388)
= Exp(3.4880)
= $32.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,189)
= Exp(a + b × X1,189 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.9289 + 0.0037 × 1,733 – 2 × 0.0388)
= Exp(3.3329)
= $28.02
December 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.9289 + 0.0037 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0388)
= Exp(3.7916)
= $44.33
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.9289 + 0.0037 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0388)
= Exp(3.6365)
= $37.96
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 280.07% per annum.
- VCEL price at the close of December 10, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.59 (4.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.