M&T Bank Corporation (MTB)
M&T Bank Corporation is a leading American bank holding company headquartered in Buffalo, New York, with a robust portfolio of financial services catering to individuals, businesses, and municipalities. Established in 1856, M&T Bank has built a strong regional presence, primarily in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States, with a commitment to personalized customer service and community engagement. The company offers a wide range of banking products, including commercial and retail banking, mortgage services, and wealth management solutions, making it a key player in the regional banking landscape. With a focus on sustainable growth and innovation, M&T Bank is well-positioned to capture new opportunities in the evolving financial sector while delivering value to its shareholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 27.98% per annum.
- MTB price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $213.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.68% per annum.
- MTB price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MTB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2023
End date: January 23, 2026
a = 4.1447
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0822
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 27.98%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0822) – 1
= 38.95%
March 13, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y535)
= Exp(a + b × X535 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 776 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1447 + 0.0007 × 776 + 2 × 0.0822)
= Exp(4.8337)
= $125.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y535)
= Exp(a + b × X535 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 776 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1447 + 0.0007 × 776 – 2 × 0.0822)
= Exp(4.5047)
= $90.44
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1447 + 0.0007 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0822)
= Exp(5.5414)
= $255.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1447 + 0.0007 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0822)
= Exp(5.2124)
= $183.54
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 27.98% per annum.
- MTB price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $213.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 4, 2024
End date: January 23, 2026
a = 5.0346
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0689
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0689) – 1
= 31.75%
October 4, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y929)
= Exp(a + b × X929 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,347 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0346 + 0.0001 × 1,347 + 2 × 0.0689)
= Exp(5.3412)
= $208.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y929)
= Exp(a + b × X929 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,347 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0346 + 0.0001 × 1,347 – 2 × 0.0689)
= Exp(5.0655)
= $158.45
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0346 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0689)
= Exp(5.4009)
= $221.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0346 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0689)
= Exp(5.1251)
= $168.19
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.68% per annum.
- MTB price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.