S&T Bancorp Inc (STBA)
S&T Bancorp, Inc. is a diversified financial institution headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania, serving as the parent company of S&T Bank. The company provides a wide range of banking services, including retail and commercial banking, wealth management, and mortgage lending, to individuals and businesses throughout its operating regions. With a commitment to community engagement and financial stewardship, S&T Bancorp emphasizes customer relationships and prudent risk management, positioning itself for sustainable growth in the competitive banking landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 33.60% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of February 6, 2026 was $44.13 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.09 (2.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 5.85% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of February 6, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $4.59 (11.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of STBA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 6, 2023
End date: March 7, 2025
a = 2.5314
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0837
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 33.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0837) – 1
= 39.76%
April 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y544)
= Exp(a + b × X544 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 787 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5314 + 0.0008 × 787 + 2 × 0.0837)
= Exp(3.3233)
= $27.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y544)
= Exp(a + b × X544 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 787 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5314 + 0.0008 × 787 – 2 × 0.0837)
= Exp(2.9886)
= $19.86
March 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,024)
= Exp(a + b × X1,024 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,488 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5314 + 0.0008 × 1,488 + 2 × 0.0837)
= Exp(3.8797)
= $48.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,024)
= Exp(a + b × X1,024 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,488 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5314 + 0.0008 × 1,488 – 2 × 0.0837)
= Exp(3.5449)
= $34.64
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 33.60% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of February 6, 2026 was $44.13 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.09 (2.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 16, 2024
End date: November 20, 2025
a = 3.8798
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0495
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -5.85%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0495) – 1
= 21.88%
July 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y863)
= Exp(a + b × X863 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8798 + -0.0002 × 1,254 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(3.7714)
= $43.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y863)
= Exp(a + b × X863 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8798 + -0.0002 × 1,254 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(3.5736)
= $35.65
November 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,746 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8798 + -0.0002 × 1,746 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(3.6901)
= $40.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,746 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8798 + -0.0002 × 1,746 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(3.4923)
= $32.86
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 5.85% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of February 6, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $4.59 (11.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.