S&T Bancorp Inc (STBA)
S&T Bancorp, Inc. is the banking holding company for S&T Bank offering retail and commercial banking products and services. The company is headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.25% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of July 30, 2025 was $36.87 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.86% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of July 30, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.58 (1.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of STBA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 19, 2024
End date: June 30, 2025
a = 4.2850
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0475
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -13.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0475) – 1
= 20.95%
July 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y997)
= Exp(a + b × X997 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,449 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2850 + -0.0004 × 1,449 + 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.8157)
= $45.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y997)
= Exp(a + b × X997 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,449 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2850 + -0.0004 × 1,449 – 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.6255)
= $37.54
June 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2850 + -0.0004 × 1,795 + 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.6809)
= $39.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2850 + -0.0004 × 1,795 – 2 × 0.0475)
= Exp(3.4907)
= $32.81
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.25% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of July 30, 2025 was $36.87 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: July 23, 2025
a = 1.4654
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0307
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 55.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0307) – 1
= 13.09%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4654 + 0.0012 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(3.6025)
= $36.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,174)
= Exp(a + b × X1,174 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4654 + 0.0012 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(3.4795)
= $32.44
July 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4654 + 0.0012 × 1,818 + 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(3.7374)
= $41.99
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4654 + 0.0012 × 1,818 – 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(3.6144)
= $37.13
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.86% per annum.
- STBA price at the close of July 30, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.58 (1.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.