Ameris Bancorp (ABCB)
Ameris Bancorp is the banking holding company for Ameris Bank providing a range of banking services to retail and business clients primarily in Georgia, Alabama, Florida and South Carolina. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.25% per annum.
- ABCB price at the close of August 27, 2025 was $73.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.12% per annum.
- ABCB price at the close of August 27, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.76 (1.03%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ABCB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2023
End date: March 3, 2025
a = 2.4385
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0795
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 49.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0795) – 1
= 37.43%
March 13, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y637)
= Exp(a + b × X637 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 927 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4385 + 0.0011 × 927 + 2 × 0.0795)
= Exp(3.6146)
= $37.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y637)
= Exp(a + b × X637 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 927 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4385 + 0.0011 × 927 – 2 × 0.0795)
= Exp(3.2966)
= $27.02
March 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,131)
= Exp(a + b × X1,131 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,648 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4385 + 0.0011 × 1,648 + 2 × 0.0795)
= Exp(4.4056)
= $81.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,131)
= Exp(a + b × X1,131 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,648 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4385 + 0.0011 × 1,648 – 2 × 0.0795)
= Exp(4.0876)
= $59.60
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.25% per annum.
- ABCB price at the close of August 27, 2025 was $73.82 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 15, 2024
End date: August 11, 2025
a = 3.9452
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0720
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.12%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0720) – 1
= 33.40%
July 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9452 + 0.0001 × 1,417 + 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(4.2462)
= $69.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y973)
= Exp(a + b × X973 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9452 + 0.0001 × 1,417 – 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(3.9580)
= $52.35
August 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9452 + 0.0001 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(4.2896)
= $72.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9452 + 0.0001 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(4.0014)
= $54.67
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.12% per annum.
- ABCB price at the close of August 27, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.76 (1.03%).