Stock Price Trends

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX)

axos financial, inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consumer and business banking products in the united states. the company offers deposits products, including consumer and business checking, demand, savings, time deposit, and money market accounts. it also provides single family and multifamily mortgage secured lending products; commercial real estate secured loans; automobile and rv secured loans; factoring loans; commercial and industrial loans and leases; and other loans, such as unsecured consumer loans, and other small balance business and consumer loans. in addition, axos financial, inc. offers commercial lending, specialty finance factoring, and overdraft lines of credit, as well as fixed rate term unsecured loans to individual borrowers. further, it provides prepaid card and refund transfer, debit card or atm card, portfolio management, online bill payment, money transfer, overdraft protection, online and mobile banking, and text message banking services. additiona

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.79% per annum.
  • AX price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $54.03 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $7.35 (15.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.81% per annum.
  • AX price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

February 4, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

December 6, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.79% per annum.
  • AX price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $54.03 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $7.35 (15.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

April 26, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.81% per annum.
  • AX price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

See Also

Symbol

Company name

ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
BANC
Banc of California, Inc.
BANR
Banner Corporation
BHLB
Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc.
BKU
BankUnited, Inc.
BOH
Bank of Hawaii Corporation
BRKL
Brookline Bancorp, Inc.
CADE
Cadence Bank
CASH
Pathward Financial, Inc.
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
CBSH
Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
CBU
Community Bank System, Inc.
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial, Inc.
CFG
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
CHCO
City Holding Company
COLB
Columbia Banking System, Inc.
CPF
Central Pacific Financial Corp.
CUBI
Customers Bancorp, Inc.
CVBF
CVB Financial Corp.
DCOM
Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp, Inc.
EWBC
East West Bancorp, Inc.
FBK
FB Financial Corporation
FBNC
First Bancorp
FBP
First BanCorp.
FCF
First Commonwealth Financial Corporation
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp.
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares, Inc.
FHB
First Hawaiian, Inc.
FHN
First Horizon Corporation
FNB
F.N.B. Corporation
FULT
Fulton Financial Corporation
GBCI
Glacier Bancorp, Inc.
HAFC
Hanmi Financial Corporation
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
HOMB
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR)
HOPE
Hope Bancorp, Inc.
HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
HWC
Hancock Whitney Corporation
IBOC
International Bancshares Corporation
IBTX
Independent Bank Group, Inc.
INDB
Independent Bank Corp.
KEY
KeyCorp
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation
NBHC
National Bank Holdings Corporation
NBTB
NBT Bancorp Inc.
NFBK
Northfield Bancorp, Inc. (Staten Island, NY)
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
NYCB
New York Community Bancorp, Inc.
OFG
OFG Bancorp
ONB
Old National Bancorp
OZK
Bank OZK
PB
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
PFBC
Preferred Bank
PFS
Provident Financial Services, Inc.
PNC
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.
PPBI
Pacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.
RF
Regions Financial Corporation
RNST
Renasant Corporation
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida
SBSI
Southside Bancshares, Inc.
SFBS
ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.
SFNC
Simmons First National Corporation
SNV
Synovus Financial Corp.
SSB
SouthState Corporation
STBA
S&T Bancorp, Inc.
STEL
Stellar Bancorp, Inc.
TBBK
The Bancorp, Inc.
TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
TFC
Truist Financial Corporation
TFIN
Triumph Financial, Inc.
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
TRMK
Trustmark Corporation
TRST
TrustCo Bank Corp NY
UBSI
United Bankshares, Inc.
UCBI
United Community Banks, Inc.
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation
VBTX
Veritex Holdings, Inc.
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
WABC
Westamerica Bancorporation
WAFD
WaFd, Inc
WBS
Webster Financial Corporation
WSFS
WSFS Financial Corporation
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corporation
ZION
Zions Bancorporation, National Association