Northwest Bancshares Inc (NWBI)
Northwest Bancshares, Inc. is the holding company for Northwest Bank, a reputable financial institution based in Warren, Pennsylvania, specializing in a comprehensive range of personal and business banking solutions. With a strong regional presence, the company focuses on providing exceptional customer service and innovative financial products, while maintaining a commitment to community involvement and responsible banking practices. Its diverse portfolio includes retail and commercial banking services, investment management, and insurance solutions, positioning it well for sustainable growth in the competitive financial services sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.06% per annum.
- NWBI price at the close of October 21, 2025 was $12.36 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.57 (4.42%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.60% per annum.
- NWBI price at the close of October 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NWBI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 4, 2023
End date: February 21, 2025
a = 1.7044
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0708
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 22.06%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0708) – 1
= 32.74%
April 4, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y615)
= Exp(a + b × X615 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 894 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7044 + 0.0005 × 894 + 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(2.3343)
= $10.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y615)
= Exp(a + b × X615 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 894 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7044 + 0.0005 × 894 – 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(2.0511)
= $7.78
February 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7044 + 0.0005 × 1,583 + 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(2.7107)
= $15.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7044 + 0.0005 × 1,583 – 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(2.4275)
= $11.33
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.06% per annum.
- NWBI price at the close of October 21, 2025 was $12.36 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.57 (4.42%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 16, 2024
End date: October 21, 2025
a = 2.6791
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0528
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0528) – 1
= 23.53%
July 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y936)
= Exp(a + b × X936 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6791 + -0.0001 × 1,363 + 2 × 0.0528)
= Exp(2.6478)
= $14.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y936)
= Exp(a + b × X936 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6791 + -0.0001 × 1,363 – 2 × 0.0528)
= Exp(2.4364)
= $11.43
October 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6791 + -0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0528)
= Exp(2.6013)
= $13.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6791 + -0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0528)
= Exp(2.3900)
= $10.91
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.60% per annum.
- NWBI price at the close of October 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.